UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval 		59.8%
40.2%
-300
+250
-265
+245
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos 		42.0%
58.0%
+210
-243
+215
-250
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa 		59.6%
40.4%
-110
-108
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		43.4%
56.6%
+120
-140
+130
-150
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson 		42.3%
57.7%
+143
-163
+170
-185
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito 		25.1%
74.9%
+215
-244
+200
-235
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos 		36.9%
63.1%
+140
-150
+130
-150
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda 		49.5%
50.5%
+122
-136
+120
-140
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Carla Esparza
Yan Xiaonan		49.3%
50.7%
+115
-130
+120
-128
Win
Loss		-0.79536-0.80428-0.70664
Jared Vanderaa
Justin Tafa		28.6%
71.4%
+155
-180
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-0.97051-0.99997-1.25278
Norma Dumont
Felicia Spencer		35.0%
65.0%
+160
-171
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-0.97101-1.01255-1.05119
Ricardo Ramos
Bill Algeo		48.0%
52.0%
+125
-140
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.83833-0.80802-0.73343
Edmen Shahbazyan
Jack Hermansson		41.7%
58.3%
+135
-122
+120
-125
Loss
Win		-0.57343-0.59784-0.53974
Chris Barnett
Ben Rothwell		30.0%
70.0%
+285
-350
+300
-360
Loss
Win		-0.28815-0.27720-0.35643
Court McGee
Claudio Silva		44.5%
55.5%
+105
-115
+105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.74028-0.72940-0.80907
Victor Rodriguez
Bruno Silva		33.1%
66.9%
+385
-390
+320
-360
Loss
Win		-0.23037-0.26562-0.40263
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan
Josh Culibao		32.6%
67.4%
+215
-235
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37333-0.38995-0.39512
Juancamilo Ronderos
David Dvorak		23.0%
77.0%
+425
-560
+450
-500
Loss
Win		-0.20253-0.19737-0.26190
Rafael Alves
Damir Ismagulov		12.7%
87.3%
+425
-510
+450
-540
Loss
Win		-0.20524-0.19515-0.13556
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira		43.4%
56.6%
+120
-130
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.59012-0.60825-0.56962
Tony Ferguson
Beneil Dariush		44.8%
55.2%
+134
-147
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54120-0.54173-0.59468
Rogerio Bontorin
Matt Schnell		47.7%
52.3%
+150
-170
+150
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94549-0.93869-0.74015
Viviane Araujo
Katlyn Chookagian		34.2%
65.8%
+115
-125
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60825-0.60042-0.41875
Edson Barboza
Shane Burgos		45.6%
54.4%
+135
-145
+142
-155
Win
Loss		-0.87165-0.90461-0.78463
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.