UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval 		59.8%
40.2%
-300
+250
-265
+240
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos 		42.0%
58.0%
+210
-243
+215
-250
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa 		59.6%
40.4%
-110
-108
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		43.4%
56.6%
+120
-140
+130
-150
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson 		42.3%
57.7%
+143
-163
+170
-185
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito 		25.1%
74.9%
+215
-244
+200
-235
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos 		36.9%
63.1%
+140
-150
+130
-150
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda 		49.5%
50.5%
+122
-136
+120
-140
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Andre Muniz
Jacare Souza		49.7%
50.3%
+115
-128
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.79164-0.78592-0.69947
Lando Vannata
Mike Grundy		48.1%
51.9%
+113
-125
+105
-120
Win
Loss		-0.78086-0.75056-0.73276
Jamie Pickett
Jordan Wright		48.8%
51.2%
-110
-110
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.69315-0.71668-0.66845
Andrea Lee
Antonina Shevchenko		38.0%
62.0%
+100
-116
+110
-120
Win
Loss		-0.72952-0.76336-0.96824
Priscila Cachoeira
Gina Mazany		44.9%
55.1%
+215
-245
+210
-220
Win
Loss		-1.17464-1.14144-0.80078
Tucker Lutz
Kevin Aguilar		51.6%
48.4%
-135
+118
-135
+120
Win
Loss		-0.58695-0.58291-0.66080
Sean Soriano
Christos Giagos		38.6%
61.4%
+191
-220
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40536-0.41146-0.48704
Michelle Waterson
Marina Rodriguez		26.5%
73.5%
+190
-220
+200
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40651-0.40015-0.30829
Alex Morono
Donald Cerrone		38.7%
61.3%
+160
-150
+155
-155
Win
Loss		-0.93999-0.93609-0.94868
Neil Magny
Geoff Neal		37.8%
62.2%
+150
-171
+155
-167
Win
Loss		-0.94683-0.95355-0.97270
Maurice Greene
Marcos Rogerio de Lima		41.4%
58.6%
+160
-175
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.47276-0.46185-0.53425
Diego Ferreira
Gregor Gillespie		71.3%
28.7%
+130
-134
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56488-0.58291-1.24949
Kyle Daukaus
Phillip Hawes		47.0%
53.0%
-145
+125
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.84658-0.85085-0.63471
Michael Trizano
Ludovit Klein		35.3%
64.7%
+210
-235
+200
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15518-1.12846-1.04253
Junyong Park
Tafon Nchukwi		33.7%
66.3%
+132
-144
+140
-140
Win
Loss		-0.86254-0.87546-1.08723
Christian Aguilera
Carlston Harris		45.8%
54.2%
+185
-200
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.42286-0.43510-0.61277
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.