UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval
59.8%
40.2%
-300
+250
-280
+250
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos
42.0%
58.0%
+210
-243
+215
-250
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa
59.6%
40.4%
-110
-108
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu
43.4%
56.6%
+120
-140
+130
-150
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson
42.3%
57.7%
+143
-163
+170
-185
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito
25.1%
74.9%
+215
-244
+200
-235
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos
36.9%
63.1%
+135
-150
+130
-150
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda
49.5%
50.5%
+122
-142
+120
-140
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dominick Reyes
Jiri Prochazka
46.9%
53.1%
+100
-102
-110
+115
Loss
Win
-0.68824-0.75432-0.63209
Cub Swanson
Giga Chikadze
42.6%
57.4%
+185
-200
+180
-190
Loss
Win
-0.42286-0.43510-0.55525
Dustin Jacoby
Ion Cutelaba
52.4%
47.6%
+110
-130
+115
-125
Draw
Draw
-0.69681-0.69708-0.69431
Krzysztof Jotko
Sean Strickland
36.6%
63.4%
+230
-235
+220
-245
Loss
Win
-0.35906-0.36468-0.45597
Cody Stamann
Merab Dvalishvili
31.8%
68.2%
+230
-265
+242
-260
Loss
Win
-0.34881-0.33994-0.38314
Randa Markos
Luana Pinheiro
32.5%
67.5%
+135
-153
+145
-150
Loss
Win
-0.53278-0.51896-0.39350
TJ Brown
Kai Kamaka
33.0%
67.0%
+150
-145
+130
-140
Win
Loss
-0.90810-0.85085-1.10948
Luana Carolina
Poliana Botelho
49.6%
50.4%
+240
-250
+220
-240
Win
Loss
-1.23213-1.18136-0.70164
Sam Hughes
Loma Lookboonmee
42.6%
57.4%
+308
-390
+330
-380
Loss
Win
-0.26845-0.25755-0.55527
KB Bhullar
Andreas Michailidis
30.3%
69.7%
+180
-193
+180
-200
Loss
Win
-0.43320-0.42898-0.36107
Felipe Colares
Luke Sanders
30.9%
69.1%
+106
-125
+110
-120
Win
Loss
-0.76288-0.76336-1.17309
Jorge Masvidal
Kamaru Usman
24.7%
75.3%
+285
-335
+270
-305
Loss
Win
-0.29063-0.30666-0.28421
Rose Namajunas
Zhang Weili
40.8%
59.2%
+175
-200
+185
-200
Win
Loss
-1.04146-1.06470-0.89600
Jessica Andrade
Valentina Shevchenko
24.1%
75.9%
+380
-500
+400
-450
Loss
Win
-0.22314-0.21869-0.27560
Chris Weidman
Uriah Hall
48.0%
52.0%
-150
+146
-155
+145
Loss
Win
-0.90666-0.91198-0.65356
Anthony Smith
Jimmy Crute
43.7%
56.3%
+213
-235
+220
-240
Win
Loss
-1.16181-1.18136-0.82695
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.