UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval 		59.8%
40.2%
-300
+250
-280
+250
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos 		42.0%
58.0%
+225
-260
+215
-250
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa 		59.6%
40.4%
-110
-108
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		43.4%
56.6%
+120
-140
+130
-150
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson 		42.3%
57.7%
+143
-163
+170
-185
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito 		25.1%
74.9%
+215
-244
+200
-235
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos 		36.9%
63.1%
+135
-150
+130
-150
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda 		49.5%
50.5%
+122
-142
+120
-140
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alex Oliveira
Randy Brown		40.2%
59.8%
+120
-125
+110
-124
Loss
Win		-0.59784-0.62070-0.51487
Stefan Sekulic
Dwight Grant		35.4%
64.6%
+160
-177
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.47120-0.45497-0.43731
Karl Roberson
Brendan Allen		42.8%
57.2%
+145
-132
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.54079-0.52736-0.55900
Patrick Sabatini
Tristan Connelly		62.1%
37.9%
-225
+204
-235
+210
Win
Loss		-0.38876-0.37834-0.47707
Kevin Natividad
Batgerel Danaa		32.1%
67.9%
+210
-220
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.38472-0.40573-0.38752
Kazula Vargas
Rong Zhu		26.9%
73.1%
+190
-211
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.08773-1.08672-1.31327
Jeff Molina
Aori Qileng		50.0%
50.0%
-115
+110
-115
+110
Win
Loss		-0.63673-0.63673-0.69315
Na Liang
Ariane Carnelossi		39.7%
60.3%
+186
-214
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41412-0.41737-0.50537
Kelvin Gastelum
Robert Whittaker		35.1%
64.9%
+225
-253
+220
-250
Loss
Win		-0.35719-0.36291-0.43157
Andrei Arlovski
Chase Sherman		43.8%
56.2%
+110
-115
+105
-115
Win
Loss		-0.75294-0.74028-0.82549
Jacob Malkoun
Abdul Razak Alhassan		16.9%
83.1%
+245
-290
+250
-285
Win
Loss		-1.27125-1.27841-1.77644
Justine Kish
Tracy Cortez		43.7%
56.3%
+300
-320
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28377-0.29670-0.57522
Luis Pena
Alex Munoz		63.5%
36.5%
-155
+143
-155
+140
Win
Loss		-0.51701-0.52206-0.45479
Juan Espino
Alexandr Romanov		33.2%
66.8%
+145
-160
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.50878-0.52736-0.40318
Jessica Penne
Loopy Godinez		39.5%
60.5%
+220
-260
+240
-260
Win
Loss		-1.19730-1.23998-0.92778
Bartosz Fabinski
Gerald Meerschaert		54.0%
46.0%
-120
+108
-125
+110
Loss
Win		-0.75824-0.77319-0.77607
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.