UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+145
-160
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+285
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+550
-775
+525
-700
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-425
+355
-380
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+350
-440
+350
-420
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-110
-110
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+420
-550
+425
-510
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marcin Prachnio
Khalil Rountree Jr.		32.4%
67.6%
+330
-400
+370
-400
Win
Loss		-1.49063-1.56022-1.12569
Nik Lentz
Movsar Evloev		18.0%
82.0%
+570
-700
+555
-650
Loss
Win		-0.15750-0.16225-0.19884
Amir Albazi
Zhalgas Zhumagulov		48.9%
51.1%
-114
-105
-120
+105
Win
Loss		-0.67372-0.63885-0.71564
Michael Chiesa
Neil Magny		55.1%
44.9%
+125
-145
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.84658-0.87165-0.59568
Warlley Alves
Mounir Lazzez		38.2%
61.8%
+230
-255
+240
-260
Win
Loss		-1.21503-1.23998-0.96260
Vinicius Moreira
Ike Villanueva		53.1%
46.9%
-110
-106
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.70209-0.68201-0.75803
Roxanne Modafferi
Viviane Araujo		38.9%
61.1%
+260
-310
+275
-310
Loss
Win		-0.31290-0.30209-0.49297
Matt Schnell
Tyson Nam		50.0%
50.0%
+100
-110
-105
-108
Win
Loss		-0.71668-0.69999-0.69379
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Lerone Murphy		30.2%
69.8%
+274
-317
+300
-320
Loss
Win		-0.30139-0.28377-0.35924
Omari Akhmedov
Tom Breese		39.2%
60.8%
+131
-145
+135
-125
Win
Loss		-0.86168-0.83533-0.93593
Gaetano Pirrello
Ricky Simon		19.7%
80.3%
+391
-500
+425
-500
Loss
Win		-0.21865-0.20586-0.21929
Zarrukh Adashev
Su Mudaerji		16.2%
83.8%
+400
-550
+440
-500
Loss
Win		-0.21218-0.20067-0.17632
Markus Perez
Dalcha Lungiambula		55.2%
44.8%
+149
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49774-0.49303-0.80294
Francisco Figueiredo
Jerome Rivera		56.2%
43.8%
-150
+135
-145
+135
Win
Loss		-0.53604-0.54173-0.57593
Mason Jones
Mike Davis		31.0%
69.0%
+135
-155
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53067-0.53604-0.37154
Calvin Kattar
Max Holloway		39.0%
61.0%
+140
-150
+145
-160
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.50878-0.49359
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.