UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-165
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+270
-330
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+450
-600
+462
-600
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-340
+280
-330
+280
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
-105
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+460
-600
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jul 11, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Billy Elekana
Bogdan Guskov		27.5%
72.5%
+380
-400
+405
-475
Loss
Win		-0.23144-0.21488-0.32092
Diego Ferreira
Grant Dawson		27.9%
72.1%
+235
-270
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.34293-0.35718-0.32719
Ailin Perez
Karol Rosa		43.7%
56.3%
+230
-245
+240
-250
Win
Loss		-1.20701-1.23213-0.82707
Muin Gafurov
Rinya Nakamura		28.3%
71.7%
+600
-755
+550
-640
Win
Loss		-1.97148-1.89034-1.26316
Benardo Sopaj
Ricky Turcios		70.0%
30.0%
-262
+230
-265
+270
Win
Loss		-0.34973-0.31645-0.35665
Clayton Carpenter
Tagir Ulanbekov		34.6%
65.4%
+305
-380
+320
-370
Loss
Win		-0.27147-0.26425-0.42419
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern		56.0%
44.0%
-180
+180
-185
+170
Loss
Win		-1.02963-1.01255-0.82032
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio		53.3%
46.7%
+138
-145
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53645-0.53604-0.76089
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida		30.1%
69.9%
+205
-236
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.38308-0.37637-0.35826
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis		61.7%
38.3%
-245
+210
-240
+215
Win
Loss		-0.37449-0.37138-0.48243
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez		63.7%
36.3%
-235
+215
-230
+230
Loss
Win		-1.16616-1.19392-1.01247
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano		57.9%
42.1%
-230
+195
-220
+210
Loss
Win		-1.11712-1.14144-0.86588
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-150
+145
-155
Win
Loss		-0.87962-0.91198-0.99916
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio		26.4%
73.6%
+450
-525
+405
-450
Loss
Win		-0.19594-0.21674-0.30686
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-144
+145
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54294-0.52452-0.45917
Jacobe Smith
Preston Parsons		27.5%
72.5%
-575
+525
-500
+450
Win
Loss		-0.17213-0.19737-1.29142
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.