UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-165
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+270
-330
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+450
-600
+462
-550
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-340
+280
-330
+290
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
-105
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+460
-600
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jul 11, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Piera Rodriguez
Josefine Knutsson		37.5%
62.5%
+250
-275
+250
-260
Win
Loss		-1.27165-1.26068-0.97968
Kai Asakura
Alexandre Pantoja		38.7%
61.3%
+200
-205
+205
-205
Loss
Win		-0.40275-0.39730-0.48937
Ian Garry
Shavkat Rakhmonov		28.9%
71.1%
+350
-420
+340
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24305-0.25238-0.34145
Alexander Volkov
Ciryl Gane		28.3%
71.7%
+260
-310
+330
-330
Loss
Win		-0.31290-0.26469-0.33234
Kron Gracie
Bryce Mitchell		20.3%
79.7%
+650
-900
+650
-700
Loss
Win		-0.13815-0.14183-0.22703
Dooho Choi
Nate Landwehr		41.2%
58.8%
+122
-135
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.82212-0.78592-0.88785
Dominick Reyes
Anthony Smith		71.9%
28.1%
-400
+330
-370
+325
Win
Loss		-0.25519-0.26151-0.32948
Themba Gorimbo
Vicente Luque		57.8%
42.2%
-160
+155
-150
+140
Loss
Win		-0.94358-0.89199-0.86242
Aljamain Sterling
Movsar Evloev		35.8%
64.2%
+210
-235
+210
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.37834-0.44282
Bryan Battle
Randy Brown		60.5%
39.5%
-190
+165
-180
+175
Win
Loss		-0.45487-0.44830-0.50226
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman		55.9%
44.1%
-105
-112
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.70875-0.71668-0.58121
Joshua Van
Cody Durden		65.2%
34.8%
-175
+160
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.47276-0.47276-0.42696
Max Griffin
Michael Chiesa		51.1%
48.9%
+130
-140
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55696-0.55431-0.71488
Chase Hooper
Clay Guida		78.9%
21.1%
-1305
+800
-1100
+800
Win
Loss		-0.11299-0.11441-0.23718
Lukasz Brzeski
Kennedy Nzechukwu		18.8%
81.2%
+475
-590
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18514-0.19464-0.20883
Deiveson Figueiredo
Petr Yan		37.8%
62.2%
+260
-290
+265
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31741-0.31877-0.47408
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.