UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mario Bautista
Ricky Simon		47.4%
52.6%
+165
-170
+155
-170
Win
Loss		-0.98152-0.95763-0.74739
Brunno Ferreira
Phillip Hawes		40.8%
59.2%
-132
+120
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.58717-0.55696-0.89580
Andrei Arlovski
Waldo Cortes-Acosta		27.5%
72.5%
+580
-693
+600
-725
Loss
Win		-0.15553-0.15063-0.32142
Preston Parsons
Matthew Semelsberger		44.5%
55.5%
-113
-104
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67342-0.67015-0.80919
Gaston Bolanos
Marcus McGhee		32.3%
67.7%
+210
-236
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37793-0.37138-0.38977
Taylor Lapilus
Farid Basharat		30.6%
69.4%
+255
-305
+270
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31776-0.31247-0.36494
Westin Wilson
Jean Silva		18.3%
81.7%
+600
-900
+750
-800
Loss
Win		-0.14733-0.12431-0.20232
Nikolas Motta
Tom Nolan		36.7%
63.3%
+290
-365
+320
-350
Win
Loss		-1.40149-1.45081-1.00106
Felipe Bunes
Joshua Van		42.9%
57.1%
+250
-300
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32277-0.32375-0.56119
Colby Covington
Leon Edwards		44.8%
55.2%
+121
-135
+130
-140
Loss
Win		-0.58091-0.55696-0.59365
Brandon Royval
Alexandre Pantoja		38.1%
61.9%
+185
-215
+205
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41480-0.39473-0.47954
Stephen Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov		23.5%
76.5%
+480
-625
+475
-595
Loss
Win		-0.18231-0.18493-0.26753
Tony Ferguson
Paddy Pimblett		30.4%
69.6%
+295
-315
+290
-345
Loss
Win		-0.28783-0.28572-0.36253
Josh Emmett
Bryce Mitchell		42.8%
57.2%
+225
-250
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.20041-1.21885-0.84781
Alonzo Menifield
Dustin Jacoby		39.9%
60.1%
+220
-255
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.19349-1.21885-0.91902
Karol Rosa
Irene Aldana		40.9%
59.1%
+155
-170
+155
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48418-0.48848-0.52516
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.