UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Myktybek Orolbai
Uros Medic		44.0%
56.0%
-115
+100
-110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.66000-0.68201-0.82089
Jonathan Pearce
Joanderson Brito		44.1%
55.9%
-130
+125
-140
+125
Loss
Win		-0.82055-0.83833-0.58125
Chad Anheliger
Jose Johnson		39.7%
60.3%
+180
-200
+180
-195
Loss
Win		-0.42898-0.43197-0.50504
Denis Tiuliulin
Christian Duncan		22.3%
77.7%
+550
-700
+485
-600
Loss
Win		-0.16198-0.18185-0.25238
Caio Machado
Mick Parkin		26.8%
73.2%
+300
-350
+285
-315
Loss
Win		-0.27871-0.29430-0.31139
Jeka Saragih
Lucas Alexander		22.2%
77.8%
+375
-500
+375
-450
Win
Loss		-1.60107-1.58645-1.50661
Ailin Perez
Lucie Pudilova		53.2%
46.8%
-194
+169
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.44685-0.47276-0.63027
Charles Johnson
Rafael Estevam		52.8%
47.2%
+130
-141
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55568-0.54173-0.75124
Jiri Prochazka
Alex Pereira		39.9%
60.1%
+105
-105
+100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.66904-0.67015-0.50850
Tom Aspinall
Sergei Pavlovich		57.5%
42.5%
+100
+105
-110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.68086-0.68201-0.55351
Jessica Andrade
Mackenzie Dern		46.5%
53.5%
+205
-230
+210
-240
Win
Loss		-1.13968-1.15948-0.76559
Matt Frevola
Benoit Saint Denis		34.6%
65.4%
+181
-190
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.43383-0.39531-0.42471
Diego Lopes
Patrick Sabatini		42.8%
57.2%
+106
-108
+100
-120
Win
Loss		-0.72737-0.73760-0.84805
Alessandro Costa
Muin Gafurov		54.6%
45.4%
+190
-210
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.41737-0.78882
Tabatha Ricci
Loopy Godinez		39.9%
60.1%
+180
-205
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.42344-0.50901
Roosevelt Roberts
Mateusz Rebecki		24.5%
75.5%
+550
-715
+550
-705
Loss
Win		-0.16158-0.16184-0.28091
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.