UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viacheslav Borshchev
Nazim Sadykhov		38.1%
61.9%
+141
-155
+140
-150
Draw
Draw		-0.71126-0.70968-0.72229
Mark Madsen
Jared Gordon		40.9%
59.1%
+182
-212
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41995-0.42344-0.52631
John Castaneda
Kyung Ho Kang		52.5%
47.5%
+100
+100
+100
-105
Win
Loss		-0.69315-0.70528-0.64487
Kevin Borjas
Joshua Van		40.1%
59.9%
+200
-235
+205
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38877-0.38554-0.51181
Dennis Buzukja
Jamall Emmers		44.4%
55.6%
+215
-240
+220
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37138-0.36844-0.58674
Derrick Lewis
Jailton Almeida		27.3%
72.7%
+375
-455
+375
-445
Loss
Win		-0.22857-0.22940-0.31854
Nicolas Dalby
Gabriel Bonfim		29.7%
70.3%
+425
-500
+425
-475
Win
Loss		-1.68174-1.67462-1.21325
Don'Tale Mayes
Rodrigo Nascimento		41.7%
58.3%
+191
-205
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.41294-0.43510-0.53902
Abus Magomedov
Caio Borralho		33.8%
66.2%
+245
-290
+260
-310
Loss
Win		-0.32917-0.31290-0.41325
Kaynan Kruschewsky
Elves Brenner		40.3%
59.7%
+207
-241
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37905-0.39531-0.51502
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Rinat Fakhretdinov		38.6%
61.4%
+276
-333
+280
-320
Draw
Draw		-0.82792-0.82821-0.71999
Modestas Bukauskas
Vitor Petrino		42.1%
57.9%
+220
-260
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35955-0.35955-0.54716
Angela Hill
Denise Gomes		43.9%
56.1%
+125
-140
+120
-135
Win
Loss		-0.83833-0.81706-0.82301
Montserrat Conejo
Eduarda Moura		15.7%
84.3%
+475
-600
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18473-0.19464-0.17091
Kaue Fernandes
Marc Diakiese		38.7%
61.3%
+175
-205
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.43245-0.43510-0.48968
Alexander Volkanovski
Islam Makhachev		38.2%
61.8%
+211
-240
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37536-0.35718-0.48167
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.