UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Serghei Spivac
Ciryl Gane		36.2%
63.8%
+175
-191
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44085-0.43510-0.44945
Rose Namajunas
Manon Fiorot		43.2%
56.8%
+165
-180
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46185-0.46185-0.56551
Thiago Moises
Benoit Saint Denis		46.6%
53.4%
+165
-185
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.45828-0.44150-0.62792
Bogdan Guskov
Volkan Oezdemir		37.5%
62.5%
+150
-163
+150
-162
Loss
Win		-0.49799-0.49890-0.47028
Yanis Ghemmouri
William Gomis		34.4%
65.6%
+170
-190
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.44482-0.42109
Manolo Zecchini
Morgan Charriere		27.1%
72.9%
+297
-345
+300
-345
Loss
Win		-0.28134-0.27950-0.31596
Caolan Loughran
Taylor Lapilus		41.3%
58.7%
+150
-165
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49617-0.49617-0.53338
Ange Loosa
Rhys McKee		67.1%
32.9%
-135
+120
-126
+115
Win
Loss		-0.58291-0.60664-0.39922
Joselyne Edwards
Nora Cornolle		52.1%
47.9%
-138
+120
-135
+120
Loss
Win		-0.82225-0.81706-0.73672
Kleydson Rodrigues
Farid Basharat		28.7%
71.3%
+310
-367
+305
-335
Loss
Win		-0.27030-0.27810-0.33827
Zarah Fairn
Jacqueline Cavalcanti		27.7%
72.3%
+315
-360
+300
-360
Loss
Win		-0.26842-0.27720-0.32471
Chan Sung Jung
Max Holloway		21.3%
78.7%
+525
-700
+525
-580
Loss
Win		-0.16793-0.17193-0.23920
Anthony Smith
Ryan Spann		52.8%
47.2%
+111
-125
+110
-115
Win
Loss		-0.77577-0.75294-0.63792
Alex Caceres
Giga Chikadze		30.2%
69.8%
+210
-250
+215
-250
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.36772-0.35899
Fernie Garcia
Rinya Nakamura		18.4%
81.6%
+625
-900
+600
-825
Loss
Win		-0.14259-0.14857-0.20324
Taila Santos
Erin Blanchfield		49.0%
51.0%
+160
-174
+155
-165
Loss
Win		-0.47353-0.48848-0.67334
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.