UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Parker Porter
Junior Tafa		43.8%
56.2%
+130
-145
+133
-140
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.55144-0.57593
Lukasz Brzeski
Waldo Cortes-Acosta		28.9%
71.1%
+176
-206
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.43061-0.41146-0.34115
Toshiomi Kazama
Garrett Armfield		42.1%
57.9%
+145
-165
+152
-145
Loss
Win		-0.50411-0.51313-0.54590
Chidi Njokuani
Michal Oleksiejczuk		49.6%
50.4%
+112
-120
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.62315-0.62755-0.68468
Kenan Song
Rolando Bedoya		37.5%
62.5%
+309
-340
+330
-350
Win
Loss		-1.42562-1.46889-0.98176
Yusaku Kinoshita
Billy Goff		56.3%
43.7%
-130
+125
-145
+128
Loss
Win		-0.82055-0.85416-0.82707
Na Liang
JJ Aldrich		19.3%
80.7%
+400
-550
+390
-475
Loss
Win		-0.21218-0.22077-0.21456
Jarno Errens
SeungWoo Choi		25.2%
74.8%
+127
-141
+130
-142
Loss
Win		-0.56131-0.55443-0.29065
Sean O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling		37.4%
62.6%
+212
-240
+225
-225
Win
Loss		-1.16389-1.17866-0.98355
Amanda Lemos
Zhang Weili		36.3%
63.7%
+275
-315
+280
-310
Loss
Win		-0.30109-0.29866-0.45069
Neil Magny
Ian Garry		32.1%
67.9%
+400
-470
+425
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21717-0.20929-0.38655
Da'Mon Blackshear
Mario Bautista		25.8%
74.2%
+170
-185
+175
-195
Loss
Win		-0.45144-0.43833-0.29799
Pedro Munhoz
Marlon Vera		34.7%
65.3%
+160
-165
+158
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48102-0.48397-0.42543
Chris Weidman
Brad Tavares		35.6%
64.4%
+185
-200
+200
-195
Loss
Win		-0.42286-0.40830-0.44048
Denis Tiuliulin
Gregory Rodrigues		23.8%
76.2%
+302
-355
+315
-350
Loss
Win		-0.27674-0.26988-0.27173
Kurt Holobaugh
Austin Hubbard		42.4%
57.6%
+148
-160
+145
-160
Win
Loss		-0.92669-0.91937-0.85889
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.