UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tony Ferguson
Bobby Green		36.6%
63.4%
+310
-340
+315
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27432-0.27143-0.45582
Michael Chiesa
Kevin Holland		45.3%
54.7%
+130
-130
+126
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57054-0.57111-0.60402
Trevin Giles
Gabriel Bonfim		32.1%
67.9%
+290
-330
+285
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28827-0.29335-0.38771
Vinicius Salvador
CJ Vergara		41.4%
58.6%
+150
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49617-0.49303-0.53503
Claudio Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov		41.2%
58.8%
+205
-235
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.38349-0.38472-0.53152
Darrius Flowers
Jake Matthews		26.9%
73.1%
+244
-280
+240
-280
Loss
Win		-0.33255-0.33588-0.31326
Uros Medic
Matthew Semelsberger		43.0%
57.0%
+173
-190
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-1.02555-1.03022-0.84292
Priscila Cachoeira
Miranda Maverick		26.9%
73.1%
+240
-260
+222
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34163-0.35768-0.31285
Marcin Tybura
Tom Aspinall		25.4%
74.6%
+405
-475
+385
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21488-0.22474-0.29237
Julija Stoliarenko
Molly McCann		37.0%
63.0%
+175
-200
+185
-190
Win
Loss		-1.04146-1.05334-0.99360
Andre Fili
Nathaniel Wood		40.4%
59.6%
+190
-190
+180
-195
Loss
Win		-0.42286-0.43197-0.51785
Paul Craig
Andre Muniz		31.3%
68.7%
+205
-225
+210
-220
Win
Loss		-1.13513-1.14144-1.16168
Fares Ziam
Jai Herbert		53.9%
46.1%
-170
+155
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.48418-0.47276-0.61750
Josh Culibao
Lerone Murphy		42.6%
57.4%
+130
-144
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55199-0.55080-0.55563
Daniel Marcos
Davey Grant		52.2%
47.8%
-135
+123
-130
+122
Win
Loss		-0.57695-0.58609-0.64917
Jonny Parsons
Danny Roberts		48.4%
51.6%
+132
-140
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.85583-0.87165-0.72524
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.