UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marc Diakiese
Joel Alvarez		44.3%
55.7%
+180
-208
+190
-205
Loss
Win		-0.42451-0.41412-0.58528
Jamal Pogues
Mick Parkin		52.6%
47.4%
-142
+130
-135
+125
Loss
Win		-0.85426-0.82968-0.74598
Bryan Barberena
Makhmud Muradov		33.8%
66.2%
+300
-370
+330
-330
Loss
Win		-0.27579-0.26469-0.41300
Pannie Kianzad
Ketlen Vieira		38.3%
61.7%
+140
-150
+147
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.51567-0.48298
Chris Duncan
Yanal Ashmouz		48.0%
52.0%
-138
+130
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.55953-0.57304-0.73389
Bruna Brasil
Shauna Bannon		56.3%
43.7%
-140
+125
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56639-0.55696-0.57488
Daniel Barez
Jafel Filho		50.2%
49.8%
-110
-110
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.69315-0.68201-0.69816
Mayra Bueno Silva
Holly Holm		39.9%
60.1%
+155
-160
+158
-160
Win
Loss		-0.94358-0.95075-0.91794
Bassil Hafez
Jack Della Maddalena		15.9%
84.1%
+465
-590
+475
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18813-0.18692-0.17312
Ottman Azaitar
Francisco Prado		47.6%
52.4%
-103
+100
+100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.70051-0.67015-0.64630
Junyong Park
Albert Duraev		55.5%
44.5%
-135
+127
-145
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56920-0.55080-0.58918
Chelsea Chandler
Norma Dumont		43.9%
56.1%
+130
-150
+138
-140
Loss
Win		-0.54502-0.54249-0.57798
Nazim Sadykhov
Terrance McKinney		55.3%
44.7%
-145
+153
-150
+150
Win
Loss		-0.51154-0.51083-0.59222
Tucker Lutz
Melsik Baghdasaryan		42.1%
57.9%
+141
-145
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53128-0.53604-0.54590
Istela Nunes
Viktoriya Dudakova		28.0%
72.0%
+170
-186
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.45075-0.44482-0.32920
Austin Lingo
Melquizael Costa		37.5%
62.5%
+195
-225
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.39854-0.40323-0.46938
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.