UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+150
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+285
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+550
-775
+525
-700
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-425
+355
-400
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+350
-440
+350
-420
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-110
-110
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+420
-550
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Stephen Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov		23.5%
76.5%
+480
-625
+475
-595
Loss
Win		-0.18231-0.18493-0.26753
Tony Ferguson
Paddy Pimblett		30.4%
69.6%
+295
-315
+290
-345
Loss
Win		-0.28783-0.28572-0.36253
Josh Emmett
Bryce Mitchell		42.8%
57.2%
+225
-250
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.20041-1.21885-0.84781
Alonzo Menifield
Dustin Jacoby		39.9%
60.1%
+220
-255
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.19349-1.21885-0.91902
Karol Rosa
Irene Aldana		40.9%
59.1%
+155
-170
+155
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48418-0.48848-0.52516
Brian Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt		39.9%
60.1%
+170
-184
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45213-0.46185-0.50981
Ariane Lipski
Casey O'Neill		32.0%
68.0%
+155
-180
+150
-170
Win
Loss		-0.97051-0.94549-1.13865
Cody Durden
Tagir Ulanbekov		37.1%
62.9%
+169
-170
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46401-0.45497-0.46286
Lucas Almeida
Andre Fili		43.4%
56.6%
+132
-152
+150
-152
Loss
Win		-0.53919-0.50873-0.56939
Shamil Gaziev
Martin Buday		42.1%
57.9%
-103
-112
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71353-0.71668-0.86531
Chris Gutierrez
Song Yadong		35.4%
64.6%
+280
-335
+290
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29396-0.28827-0.43748
Anthony Smith
Khalil Rountree Jr.		37.3%
62.7%
+175
-205
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.43245-0.42286-0.46665
Jamie Mullarkey
Nasrat Haqparast		45.6%
54.4%
+170
-194
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44551-0.45144-0.60947
Su Mudaerji
Tim Elliott		69.0%
31.0%
+140
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.52206-1.17028
Andre Muniz
Junyong Park		40.4%
59.6%
+165
-182
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-0.99704-1.01255-0.90525
Kenan Song
Kevin Jousset		44.2%
55.8%
+130
-140
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.55696-0.53604-0.58417
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.