UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Genaro Valdez
Evan Elder
35.8%
64.2%
+250
-290
+250
-270
Loss
Win
-0.32515-0.33041-0.44290
Tyson Nam
Azat Maksum
21.8%
78.2%
+315
-400
+330
-360
Loss
Win
-0.26329-0.26017-0.24632
Carl Deaton
Alex Munoz
33.2%
66.8%
+200
-233
+200
-210
Loss
Win
-0.38960-0.40015-0.40318
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Ailin Perez
42.1%
57.9%
+240
-264
+235
-260
Loss
Win
-0.34042-0.34595-0.54678
Yair Rodriguez
Alexander Volkanovski
28.1%
71.9%
+300
-350
+290
-335
Loss
Win
-0.27871-0.28740-0.32975
Alexandre Pantoja
Brandon Moreno
38.5%
61.5%
+184
-195
+180
-190
Win
Loss
-1.05685-1.04185-0.95441
Dricus Du Plessis
Robert Whittaker
27.3%
72.7%
+290
-340
+295
-320
Win
Loss
-1.38970-1.38870-1.29664
Dan Hooker
Jalin Turner
34.8%
65.2%
+245
-285
+260
-270
Win
Loss
-1.26805-1.28841-1.05696
Val Woodburn
Bo Nickal
7.3%
92.7%
+895
-1400
+1200
-1400
Loss
Win
-0.10227-0.07919-0.07577
Robbie Lawler
Niko Price
34.4%
65.6%
+182
-207
+180
-195
Win
Loss
-1.06520-1.04762-1.06717
Edgar Chairez
Tatsuro Taira
13.5%
86.5%
+625
-850
+625
-705
Loss
Win
-0.14337-0.14625-0.14508
Denise Gomes
Yazmin Jauregui
27.9%
72.1%
+318
-330
+310
-335
Win
Loss
-1.43700-1.42491-1.27697
Jimmy Crute
Alonzo Menifield
51.4%
48.6%
-147
+132
-145
+133
Loss
Win
-0.86741-0.86669-0.72179
Marcin Prachnio
Vitor Petrino
38.0%
62.0%
+228
-265
+240
-250
Loss
Win
-0.35061-0.34485-0.47786
Terrence Mitchell
Cameron Saaiman
18.2%
81.8%
+475
-570
+475
-500
Loss
Win
-0.18599-0.18954-0.20142
Shannon Ross
Jesus Aguilar
31.4%
68.6%
+130
-145
+120
-130
Loss
Win
-0.55080-0.59012-0.37640
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.