UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 27, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manuel Torres
Rafael Fiziev 		22.2%
77.8%
+110
-130

Michel Pereira
Shara Magomedov 		42.1%
57.9%


Matheus Camilo
Nazim Sadykhov 		47.3%
52.7%


Charles Johnson
Asu Almabayev 		53.5%
46.5%


Brunno Ferreira
Ikram Aliskerov 		27.1%
72.9%


Michal Oleksiejczuk
Abus Magomedov 		53.5%
46.5%


Fights for Jun 20, 2026
Fights for Jul 11, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria		25.4%
74.6%
+375
-450
+380
-400
Win
Loss		-1.58645-1.57692-1.37160
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira		45.5%
54.5%
-101
-108
+100
-115
Win
Loss		-0.70966-0.72743-0.78779
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley		27.9%
72.1%
+350
-415
+370
-405
Loss
Win		-0.24355-0.23532-0.32760
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis		72.3%
27.7%
-440
+410
-410
+375
Win
Loss		-0.21563-0.23260-0.32418
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy		19.3%
80.7%
+415
-495
+400
-445
Loss
Win		-0.20977-0.21909-0.21434
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal		28.3%
71.7%
+300
-355
+320
-330
Loss
Win		-0.27796-0.27022-0.33314
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-160
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.50878-0.53299-0.49599
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad		49.2%
50.8%
+110
-112
+105
-115
Win
Loss		-0.74642-0.74028-0.70928
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen		38.9%
61.1%
+165
-183
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45969-0.46185-0.49325
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam		32.3%
67.7%
+270
-320
+300
-340
Win
Loss		-1.33998-1.40879-1.13010
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell		39.8%
60.2%
+105
-115
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.64814-0.60825-0.50821
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski		39.2%
60.8%
+340
-440
+360
-425
Loss
Win		-0.24602-0.23786-0.49794
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell		84.7%
15.3%
-440
+350
-400
+350
Win
Loss		-0.24117-0.24512-0.16609
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee		20.3%
79.7%
+350
-428
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24228-0.25755-0.22744
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva		50.5%
49.5%
+100
-108
-105
-112
Win
Loss		-0.71219-0.70875-0.68320
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira		49.7%
50.3%
-125
+115
-120
+115
Win
Loss		-0.60825-0.61667-0.69906
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.53597 
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.54208 
DRatings75-2 (0.714)0-0.55066
-0.01469
-0.00858

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.