UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for August 3, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Umar Nurmagomedov
Cory Sandhagen 		61.0%
39.0%
-230
+205
-230
+200
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Shara Magomedov 		37.6%
62.4%
+185
-220
+220
-220
All Bet Values Active
Deiveson Figueiredo
Marlon Vera 		52.4%
47.6%
-163
+145
-165
+150
Michael Chiesa
Tony Ferguson 		72.5%
27.5%
-390
+304
-400
+330
Loopy Godinez
Mackenzie Dern 		52.0%
48.0%
+106
-120
+105
-125
Elves Brenner
Joel Alvarez 		42.6%
57.4%
-101
-119
+105
-120
Azamat Murzakanov
Alonzo Menifield 		43.0%
57.0%
-185
+160
-190
+170
Kaue Fernandes
Mohammad Yahya 		51.8%
48.2%
-335
+275
-340
+280
Don'Tale Mayes
Shamil Gaziev 		28.2%
71.8%
+205
-240
+200
-240
Guram Kutateladze
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 		63.6%
36.4%
-240
+205
-240
+200
Sam Hughes
Viktoriya Dudakova 		31.8%
68.2%
+150
-175
+150
-170
Rolando Bedoya
Jai Herbert 		50.8%
49.2%
+145
-170
+155
-170
Denis Tiuliulin
Sedriques Dumas 		34.1%
65.9%
+180
-210
+190
-220
Fights for Jul 28, 2024
Fights for Aug 4, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Virna Jandiroba
Amanda Lemos		52.5%
47.5%
-115
+102
-103
-110
Win
Loss		-0.65520-0.70920-0.64440
SeungWoo Choi
Steve Garcia		47.4%
52.6%
+160
-170
+160
-160
Loss
Win		-0.47678-0.48552-0.64287
Kaynan Kruschewsky
Kurt Holobaugh		66.4%
33.6%
-140
+125
-135
+125
Loss
Win		-0.83833-0.82968-1.08987
Bruno Silva
Cody Durden		55.4%
44.6%
-150
+134
-145
+147
Win
Loss		-0.53780-0.52121-0.59142
Bill Algeo
Dooho Choi		63.8%
36.2%
-225
+202
-220
+200
Loss
Win		-1.12840-1.11923-1.01669
Hyder Amil
JeongYeong Lee		32.7%
67.3%
+178
-200
+180
-205
Win
Loss		-1.04851-1.05849-1.11862
Cody Gibson
Brian Kelleher		58.2%
41.8%
-210
+185
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.41737-0.42898-0.54170
Dione Barbosa
Miranda Maverick		30.8%
69.2%
+200
-225
+215
-210
Loss
Win		-0.39304-0.38433-0.36759
Trey Ogden
Loik Radzhabov		40.5%
59.5%
+125
-130
+130
-130
Win
Loss		-0.82055-0.83292-0.90347
Lucie Pudilova
Luana Carolina		58.3%
41.7%
+122
-140
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.57222-0.58016-0.87491
Thomas Petersen
Mohammed Usman		45.7%
54.3%
-110
+108
-105
+110
Win
Loss		-0.65120-0.65736-0.78231
Tracy Cortez
Rose Namajunas		25.5%
74.5%
+230
-240
+250
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35718-0.33332-0.29389
Muslim Salikhov
Santiago Ponzinibbio		40.5%
59.5%
+175
-175
+170
-180
Win
Loss		-1.01159-1.00641-0.90288
Jean Silva
Drew Dober		53.4%
46.6%
-105
+100
+100
+100
Win
Loss		-0.68116-0.69315-0.62695
Ange Loosa
Gabriel Bonfim		21.8%
78.2%
+325
-395
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.25840-0.25755-0.24619
Christian Rodriguez
Julian Erosa		62.9%
37.1%
-240
+225
-240
+230
Loss
Win		-1.19214-1.20281-0.99096
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.68540 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.69155 
DRatings115-6 (0.455)0-0.77944
-0.09404
-0.08789

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.