UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 13, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili		26.7%
73.3%
+315
-385
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.45732-1.48259-1.32058
Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja		36.3%
63.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.05849-1.07614-1.01313
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Moreno		51.5%
48.5%
-117
+105
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64434-0.65817-0.66442
Payton Talbott
Henry Cejudo		69.8%
30.2%
-244
+220
-260
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36504-0.35955-0.35918
Bogdan Guskov
Jan Blachowicz		47.9%
52.1%
-108
+110
-115
+115
Draw
Draw		-0.69408-0.69559-0.69407
Manuel Torres
Grant Dawson		30.8%
69.2%
+225
-260
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.20815-1.21885-1.17801
Terrance McKinney
Chris Duncan		38.3%
61.7%
+110
-125
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.61904-0.64814-0.48321
Karine Silva
Maycee Barber		43.4%
56.6%
+185
-215
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41480-0.38472-0.56897
Fares Ziam
Nazim Sadykhov		62.0%
38.0%
-187
+165
-190
+170
Win
Loss		-0.45689-0.44809-0.47786
Marvin Vettori
Brunno Ferreira		57.2%
42.8%
-115
+115
-130
+115
Loss
Win		-0.76546-0.79536-0.84749
Edson Barboza
Jalin Turner		34.0%
66.0%
+390
-490
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21972-0.21869-0.41538
Ibo Aslan
Iwo Baraniewski		44.3%
55.7%
+180
-185
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.43838-0.41690-0.58564
Antonio Trocoli
Mansur Abdul-Malik		17.0%
83.0%
+850
-1200
+1050
-1300
Loss
Win		-0.10799-0.08952-0.18573
Muhammad Naimov
Mairon Santos		37.8%
62.2%
+200
-235
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.38877-0.37637-0.47408
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan		23.1%
76.9%
+625
-800
+600
-800
Loss
Win		-0.14425-0.14903-0.26329
Belal Muhammad
Ian Garry		38.0%
62.0%
+270
-290
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31004-0.31508-0.47833
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.