UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 29, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Macy Chiasson
Mayra Bueno Silva
42.8%
57.2%
+165
-200
+175
-200
Marc-Andre Barriault
Joe Pyfer
36.4%
63.6%
+220
-260
+220
-230
Ian Garry
Michael Page
59.1%
40.9%
-130
+110
-130
+115
Andre Fili
Cub Swanson
55.9%
44.1%
-190
+166
-185
+165
Vinicius Oliveira
Ricky Simon
27.5%
72.5%
+185
-220
+200
-230
Jean Silva
Charles Jourdain
36.6%
63.4%
+115
-135
+130
-140
Yanis Ghemmouri
Payton Talbott
21.4%
78.6%
+850
-1200
+1000
-1000
Volatility Bet Value Active
Michelle Waterson
Gillian Robertson
37.4%
62.6%
+165
-185
+175
-190
Andrei Arlovski
Martin Buday
35.5%
64.5%
+225
-265
+230
-265
Carlos Hernandez
Rei Tsuruya
34.5%
65.5%
+325
-380
+310
-380
Diego Lopes
Brian Ortega
35.6%
64.4%
-135
+120
-130
+115
Jiri Prochazka
Alex Pereira
39.9%
60.1%
+140
-160
+145
-155
Carlos Ulberg
Anthony Smith
77.4%
22.6%
-450
+375
-460
+400
Fights for Jun 30, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tatsuro Taira
Alex Perez
63.8%
36.2%
-240
+215
-250
+220
Win
Loss
-0.37138-0.36291-0.45017
Miles Johns
Douglas Silva de Andrade
49.9%
50.1%
-170
+150
-175
+165
Win
Loss
-0.49182-0.46561-0.69555
Lucas Almeida
Timothy Cuamba
42.6%
57.4%
+170
-190
+170
-185
Win
Loss
-1.01846-1.01255-0.85320
Garrett Armfield
Brady Hiestand
55.1%
44.9%
-260
+240
-250
+240
Loss
Win
-1.23998-1.23213-0.80145
Jose Johnson
Asu Almabayev
32.3%
67.7%
+325
-360
+335
-340
Loss
Win
-0.26286-0.26044-0.39008
Adam Fugitt
Josh Quinlan
47.0%
53.0%
+140
-145
+135
-140
Win
Loss
-0.88394-0.86325-0.75494
Nate Maness
Jimmy Flick
70.2%
29.8%
-650
+500
-600
+500
Win
Loss
-0.17589-0.17768-0.35348
Gabriella Fernandes
Carli Judice
64.1%
35.9%
-155
+140
-156
+145
Win
Loss
-0.52206-0.51269-0.44462
Westin Wilson
Jeka Saragih
27.0%
73.0%
+280
-335
+290
-305
Win
Loss
-1.36771-1.37042-1.31108
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan
Melquizael Costa
41.7%
58.3%
+193
-215
+186
-210
Loss
Win
-0.40549-0.41617-0.54003
Julia Polastri
Josefine Knutsson
29.2%
70.8%
+185
-200
+190
-210
Loss
Win
-0.42286-0.41146-0.34493
Nassourdine Imavov
Jared Cannonier
50.3%
49.7%
-120
+110
-120
+105
Win
Loss
-0.62755-0.63885-0.68663
Dustin Jacoby
Dominick Reyes
57.0%
43.0%
-220
+195
-215
+195
Loss
Win
-1.10794-1.10310-0.84348
Ricky Turcios
Raul Rosas Jr.
23.0%
77.0%
+255
-285
+245
-270
Loss
Win
-0.32247-0.33448-0.26144
Dustin Stoltzfus
Brunno Ferreira
40.7%
59.3%
+235
-260
+230
-250
Loss
Win
-0.34595-0.35364-0.52312
Zach Reese
Julian Marquez
55.4%
44.6%
+130
-140
+125
-140
Win
Loss
-0.85085-0.83833-0.59070
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.65113 
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.64412 
DRatings116-5 (0.545)0-0.63087
0.02027
0.01325

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.