UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 28, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Lone'er Kavanagh
Brandon Moreno 		37.7%
62.3%
+210
-250
+205
-250
Marlon Vera
David Martinez 		26.8%
73.2%
+220
-260
+220
-270
Bobby Green
Daniel Zellhuber 		27.0%
73.0%
+375
-500
+375
-550
Felipe Bunes
Edgar Chairez 		26.9%
73.1%
+200
-235
+190
-240
Kevin Borjas
Imanol Rodriguez 		24.4%
75.6%
+300
-390
+300
-400
Angel Pacheco
Santiago Luna 		25.0%
75.0%
+350
-450
+335
-475
Macy Chiasson
Ailin Perez 		42.6%
57.4%
+150
-175
+145
-180
Kris Moutinho
Cristian Quinonez 		16.4%
83.6%
+475
-650
+475
-700
Francis Marshall
Erik Silva 		82.9%
17.1%
+400
-550
-600
+400
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Feb 21, 2026
Fights for Mar 1, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vinicius Oliveira
Mario Bautista		43.0%
57.0%
+105
-125
+125
-123
Loss
Win		-0.63023-0.59099-0.56291
Amir Albazi
Kyoji Horiguchi		24.9%
75.1%
+292
-350
+315
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28366-0.27143-0.28608
Rizvan Kuniev
Jailton Almeida		38.8%
61.2%
+153
-170
+160
-160
Win
Loss		-0.95280-0.95550-0.94631
Marc-Andre Barriault
Michal Oleksiejczuk		30.1%
69.9%
+395
-460
+425
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21989-0.20929-0.35796
Jean Matsumoto
Farid Basharat		31.1%
68.9%
+255
-300
+275
-320
Loss
Win		-0.31888-0.30011-0.37283
Julius Walker
Dustin Jacoby		43.0%
57.0%
+133
-145
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54531-0.53299-0.56205
Alex Morono
Daniil Donchenko		12.4%
87.6%
+650
-950
+800
-900
Loss
Win		-0.13747-0.11641-0.13228
Nikolay Veretennikov
Niko Price		60.4%
39.6%
-240
+225
-240
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36179-0.36652-0.50385
Ketlen Souza
Bruna Brasil		62.1%
37.9%
-135
+125
-145
+135
Win
Loss		-0.57304-0.54173-0.47634
Gianni Vazquez
Javid Basharat		19.6%
80.4%
+700
-685
+575
-800
Loss
Win		-0.13387-0.15415-0.21806
Eduarda Moura
Cong Wang		28.0%
72.0%
+255
-290
+250
-290
Loss
Win		-0.32123-0.32515-0.32863
Muin Gafurov
Jakub Wiklacz		52.5%
47.5%
-110
+110
-120
+115
Loss
Win		-0.74194-0.77596-0.74440
Priscila Cachoeira
Klaudia Sygula		47.2%
52.8%
+170
-177
+170
-170
Loss
Win		-0.45719-0.46262-0.63862
Diego Lopes
Alexander Volkanovski		40.0%
60.0%
+130
-142
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.55443-0.53604-0.51061
Dan Hooker
Benoit Saint Denis		26.7%
73.3%
+345
-370
+350
-420
Loss
Win		-0.25112-0.24305-0.31058
Rafael Fiziev
Mauricio Ruffy		52.7%
47.3%
-125
+110
-125
+110
Loss
Win		-0.77319-0.77319-0.74796
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.