UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 23, 2021

TimeFightersWinBest
Line

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Amir Albazi (13-1)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-4)
48.9%
51.1%
-110
-110
-105
-110
Nik Lentz (30-11)
Movsar Evloev (13-0)
18.0%
82.0%
+425
-560
+430
-475
Andrew Sanchez (13-5)
Makhmud Muradov (24-6)
38.0%
62.0%
+121
-140
+125
-135
Marcin Prachnio (13-5)
Khalil Rountree Jr. (9-4)
32.4%
67.6%
+275
-325
+280
-315
Julianna Pena (10-4)
Sara McMann (12-5)
52.0%
48.0%
+113
-130
+110
-120
Antonio Carlos Junior (11-4)
Brad Tavares (17-7)
49.1%
50.9%
+110
-125
+110
-120
Nasrat Haqparast (12-3)
Arman Tsarukyan (15-2)
23.9%
76.1%
+245
-285
+250
-275
Marina Rodriguez (12-1)
Amanda Ribas (10-1)
35.5%
64.5%
+258
-308
+265
-310
Matt Frevola (8-1)
Ottman Azaitar (13-0)
43.3%
56.7%
+138
-158
+145
-155
Jessica Eye (15-8)
Joanne Calderwood (14-5)
52.9%
47.1%
-105
-115
+105
-120
Michael Chandler (16-4)
Dan Hooker (20-9)
18.1%
81.9%
+115
-130
+110
-125
Dustin Poirier (26-6)
Conor McGregor (22-4)
32.9%
67.1%
+261
-300
+265
-310
Fights for Jan 22, 2021

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
Line
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Omari Akhmedov
Tom Breese
39.2%
60.8%
+131
-145
+135
-125
Win
Loss
-0.86168-0.83533-0.93593
Gaetano Pirrello
Ricky Simon
19.7%
80.3%
+391
-500
+425
-500
Loss
Win
-0.21865-0.20586-0.21929
Zarrukh Adashev
Su Mudaerji
16.2%
83.8%
+400
-550
+440
-500
Loss
Win
-0.21218-0.20067-0.17632
Markus Perez
Dalcha Lungiambula
55.2%
44.8%
+149
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win
-0.49774-0.49303-0.80294
Francisco Figueiredo
Jerome Rivera
56.2%
43.8%
-150
+135
-145
+135
Win
Loss
-0.53604-0.54173-0.57593
Mason Jones
Mike Davis
31.0%
69.0%
+135
-155
+135
-150
Loss
Win
-0.53067-0.53604-0.37154
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No PickLog Loss+/-
Sportsbooks2213-9 (0.591)0-0.64866 
Sportsbooks2214-8 (0.636)0-0.64900 
DRatings2211-10 (0.523)1-0.63990
0.00876
0.00911

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.