UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 31, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Aaron Tau
Namsrai Batbayar 		46.0%
54.0%
+105
-120
+110
-125
Sulangrangbo
Lawrence Lui 		66.4%
33.6%
-250
+215
-230
+205
Keiichiro Nakamura
Sebastian Szalay 		45.9%
54.1%
+125
-140
+110
-130
Sangwook Kim
Dom Mar Fan 		46.0%
54.0%
+130
-147
+145
-155
Kaan Ofli
Yizha 		27.8%
72.2%
+173
-200
+175
-190
Jonathan Micallef
Oban Elliott 		53.0%
47.0%
-130
+112
-135
+120
Jacob Malkoun
Torrez Finney 		57.2%
42.8%
-142
+125
-130
+130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cam Rowston
Cody Brundage 		71.2%
28.8%
-360
+295
-350
+295
Junior Tafa
Billy Elekana 		34.8%
65.2%
+210
-245
+200
-235
Quillan Salkilld
Jamie Mullarkey 		81.4%
18.6%
-900
+650
-900
+650
Tai Tuivasa
Tallison Teixeira 		22.4%
77.6%
+295
-350
+300
-330
Rafael Fiziev
Mauricio Ruffy 		52.7%
47.3%
+100
-120
+110
-120
Dan Hooker
Benoit Saint Denis 		26.7%
73.3%
+285
-350
+290
-340
Diego Lopes
Alexander Volkanovski 		40.0%
60.0%
+120
-135
+125
-140
Fights for Jan 30, 2026
Fights for Feb 7, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lance Gibson Jr
Bobby Green		40.2%
59.8%
+155
-170
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48418-0.47276-0.51381
Neil Magny
Yaroslav Amosov		21.6%
78.4%
+430
-533
+450
-520
Loss
Win		-0.20219-0.19621-0.24272
Isaac Thomson
Joanderson Brito		37.4%
62.6%
+195
-228
+200
-235
Loss
Win		-0.39720-0.38877-0.46848
Sean Sharaf
Steven Asplund		25.4%
74.6%
+190
-215
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40893-0.40573-0.29361
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos		42.3%
57.7%
+115
-130
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.58291-0.55010
Guilherme Pat
Allen Frye		57.0%
43.0%
-170
+155
-160
+160
Win
Loss		-0.48418-0.48552-0.56205
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda		45.1%
54.9%
+210
-215
+210
-230
Win
Loss		-1.13650-1.15078-0.79649
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili		26.7%
73.3%
+315
-385
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.45732-1.48259-1.32058
Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja		36.3%
63.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.05849-1.07614-1.01313
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Moreno		51.5%
48.5%
-117
+105
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64434-0.65817-0.66442
Payton Talbott
Henry Cejudo		69.8%
30.2%
-244
+220
-260
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36504-0.35955-0.35918
Bogdan Guskov
Jan Blachowicz		47.9%
52.1%
-108
+110
-115
+115
Draw
Draw		-0.69408-0.69559-0.69407
Manuel Torres
Grant Dawson		30.8%
69.2%
+225
-260
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.20815-1.21885-1.17801
Terrance McKinney
Chris Duncan		38.3%
61.7%
+110
-125
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.61904-0.64814-0.48321
Karine Silva
Maycee Barber		43.4%
56.6%
+185
-215
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41480-0.38472-0.56897
Fares Ziam
Nazim Sadykhov		62.0%
38.0%
-187
+165
-190
+170
Win
Loss		-0.45689-0.44809-0.47786
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.48031 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.47727 
DRatings118-3 (0.727)0-0.49504
-0.01473
-0.01777

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.