UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 6, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Muhammad Naimov
Mairon Santos 		37.8%
62.2%
+215
-250
+225
-235
Antonio Trocoli
Mansur Abdul-Malik 		17.0%
83.0%
+875
-1300
+800
-1200
Edson Barboza
Jalin Turner 		34.0%
66.0%
+260
-310
+260
-310
Marvin Vettori
Brunno Ferreira 		57.2%
42.8%
-110
-105
-105
+100
Fares Ziam
Nazim Sadykhov 		59.5%
40.5%
-133
+113
-135
+115
Karine Silva
Maycee Barber 		43.4%
56.6%
+165
-190
+170
-180
Terrance McKinney
Chris Duncan 		38.3%
61.7%
+127
-141
+135
-140
Manuel Torres
Grant Dawson 		30.8%
69.2%
+185
-220
+190
-220
Bogdan Guskov
Jan Blachowicz 		47.9%
52.1%
+112
-130
+115
-130
Payton Talbott
Henry Cejudo 		69.8%
30.2%
-245
+222
-250
+225
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Moreno 		51.5%
48.5%
-122
+110
-130
+110
Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja 		36.3%
63.7%
+200
-223
+200
-225
Fights for Dec 5, 2025
Fights for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Michael Morales
Sean Brady		48.8%
51.2%
+125
-130
+140
-140
Win
Loss		-0.82055-0.87546-0.71846
Carlos Prates
Leon Edwards		58.2%
41.8%
-155
+166
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.48149-0.51371-0.54170
Beneil Dariush
Benoit Saint Denis		37.5%
62.5%
+190
-205
+195
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41412-0.41110-0.47031
Rodolfo Vieira
Bo Nickal		37.1%
62.9%
+225
-230
+230
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36566-0.35538-0.46404
Roman Kopylov
Gregory Rodrigues		42.6%
57.4%
+167
-175
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.46283-0.45144-0.55436
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield		29.7%
70.3%
+320
-350
+350
-320
Loss
Win		-0.26707-0.25594-0.35288
Ethyn Ewing
Malcolm Wellmaker		19.0%
81.0%
+325
-390
+335
-350
Win
Loss		-1.47766-1.47780-1.65989
Gerald Meerschaert
Kyle Daukaus		31.0%
69.0%
+390
-335
+400
-435
Loss
Win		-0.23508-0.21992-0.37111
Patrick Sabatini
Chepe Mariscal		49.4%
50.6%
-110
+115
-115
+110
Win
Loss		-0.63550-0.63673-0.70546
Angela Hill
Fatima Kline		25.7%
74.3%
+450
-500
+425
-550
Loss
Win		-0.19737-0.20303-0.29748
Eric McConico
Baisangur Susurkaev		8.9%
91.1%
+850
-1200
+950
-1200
Loss
Win		-0.10799-0.09820-0.09267
Matheus Camilo
Viacheslav Borshchev		58.3%
41.7%
-160
+142
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51371-0.51371-0.53878
Randy Brown
Gabriel Bonfim		35.7%
64.3%
+145
-160
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50878-0.51371-0.44104
Matt Schnell
Joseph Morales		28.5%
71.5%
+390
-400
+400
-405
Loss
Win		-0.22721-0.22264-0.33484
Uros Medic
Muslim Salikhov		66.2%
33.8%
-133
+115
-125
+110
Win
Loss		-0.59598-0.61904-0.41325
Chris Padilla
Ismael Bonfim		32.0%
68.0%
-115
+100
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.66000-0.67015-1.14028
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.