UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 10, 2023

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Diana Belbita
Maria Oliveira 		50.5%
49.5%
-119
+100
-110
+100
Kyle Nelson
Blake Bilder 		34.2%
65.8%
+200
-225
+215
-250
Aiemann Zahabi
Aori Qileng 		40.1%
59.9%
+103
-120
+105
-120
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Miranda Maverick 		24.2%
75.8%
+255
-300
+255
-305
Chris Curtis
Nassourdine Imavov 		42.6%
57.4%
+138
-155
+140
-150
Eryk Anders
Marc-Andre Barriault 		39.4%
60.6%
+116
-129
+110
-125
Nate Landwehr
Dan Ige 		32.4%
67.6%
+215
-255
+210
-240
Adam Fugitt
Mike Malott 		27.5%
72.5%
+170
-175
+175
-185
Volatility Bet Value Active
Beneil Dariush
Charles Oliveira 		50.4%
49.6%
-140
+130
-145
+130
Irene Aldana
Amanda Nunes 		25.3%
74.7%
+270
-325
+260
-300
Fights for Jun 9, 2023
Fights for Jun 11, 2023

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Andre Fialho
Joaquin Buckley		41.4%
58.6%
+190
-210
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.42286-0.53462
Diego Ferreira
Michael Johnson		64.1%
35.9%
-145
+127
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.55638-0.57304-0.44484
Viacheslav Borshchev
Hayisaer Maheshate		63.9%
36.1%
-160
+145
-160
+150
Win
Loss		-0.50878-0.50078-0.44787
Vanessa Demopoulos
Karolina Kowalkiewicz		46.2%
53.8%
+122
-125
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.59377-0.55431-0.61919
Gilbert Urbina
Orion Cosce		43.4%
56.6%
-115
+100
-115
+105
Win
Loss		-0.66000-0.64814-0.83441
Ilir Latifi
Rodrigo Nascimento		40.7%
59.3%
+165
-177
+165
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46409-0.46561-0.52325
Nick Fiore
Chase Hooper		46.6%
53.4%
-130
+114
-120
+110
Loss
Win		-0.79279-0.76336-0.62723
Victoria Leonardo
Natalia Silva		28.8%
71.2%
+665
-900
+600
-825
Loss
Win		-0.13561-0.14857-0.33949
Takashi Sato
Themba Gorimbo		53.5%
46.5%
+111
-125
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.61683-0.60825-0.76522
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Jailton Almeida		33.7%
66.3%
+400
-470
+425
-455
Loss
Win		-0.21717-0.20892-0.41125
Anthony Smith
Johnny Walker		49.9%
50.1%
+105
-120
+115
-120
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.61667-0.69175
Daniel Rodriguez
Ian Garry		34.4%
65.6%
+250
-285
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32640-0.32375-0.42219
Ihor Potieria
Carlos Ulberg		29.6%
70.4%
+351
-440
+355
-440
Loss
Win		-0.24068-0.23880-0.35051
Tim Means
Alex Morono		34.3%
65.7%
+180
-200
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42898-0.41146-0.42063
Court McGee
Matt Brown		61.7%
38.3%
-220
+190
-220
+195
Loss
Win		-1.09652-1.10794-0.95902
Chase Sherman
Karl Williams		32.7%
67.3%
+330
-390
+350
-385
Loss
Win		-0.25634-0.24681-0.39574
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.65649 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.65618 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.67744
-0.02095
-0.02126

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.