The sixty-eight teams are set and the 2022 version of March Madness is getting set to start tonight! Below, we analyze the four regions to help you pick your brackets, bet futures, or do whatever else you may want to do with it! Our simulation runs 1,000 times to create these results. As always, one can find our individual game predictions here. There may be some discrepancy between the two projections. One is a simulation and our game predictions take into account injuries.
East Bracket Breakdown
The East, for the second year in a row, is the most competitive bracket in the tournament. Baylor, as the 1-seed, is the slight favorite in the group. However, we wouldn’t sleep on Kentucky, Purdue, or UCLA as they all have over a 16% chance to make the Final Four. Even Texas, at 7.1%, has a pretty good chance to make the Final Four. There are two small upset alerts in this bracket. Currently, Murray State is a slight favorite over San Francisco, however we give the slight edge to the Dons. Secondly, the winner of the Indiana and Wyoming game won’t be favored over St. Mary’s, but could give them a run for their money.
Best Futures Bet: Texas Longhorns to make the Final Four (+2000)
South Bracket Breakdown
The South bracket features about five teams that we think have a realistic shot of winning the NCAA Tournament, including Arizona, who has third best odds in the tournament. Villanova, Tennessee, Illinois and Houston all have a better than 10% chance of winning the South bracket, so we expect a lot of good basketball in this group. The team that is most likely to surprise is Michigan at the 11-seed. We have them as a slight favorite against 6-seeded Colorado State and can see them making a run into the Elite Eight.
Best Futures Bet: Ohio State Buckeyes to make the Final Four (+3300)
Midwest Bracket Breakdown
The Midwest bracket is an interesting one in that it could end up with a lot of chaos. Kansas is the 1-seed and have the best odds to win the Midwest and make the Final Four at 31.4%. Auburn is arguably the strongest 2-seed in the NCAA Tournament and they have a 20.7% chance to advance. A good team to watch out for is the 13-seed South Dakota State. They really should have been a 12-seed and are currently only 2 point underdogs to 4-seed Providence. Consequently, this is a great team and they could easily win a few games to shake things up in this bracket.
Best Futures Bet: USC to make the Final Four (+2200)
West Bracket Breakdown
Gonzaga headlines the West bracket and they have the best chance to win the NCAA Tournament at 21.3%. The Zags have a 46.1% chance to get into the Final Four followed by Duke at 17.9%. As we all know, anything can happen in the NCAA Tournament. Consequently, we think the Connecticut Huskies have the best chance to pulling an upset and making the Final Four (7.4% chance).
Best Futures Bet: UConn to make the Final Four (+2000)