Bahia at Chapecoense

Updated

Bahia

43.1%29.6%27.3%
Bahia WinDrawChapecoense Win
1.19Projected Goals 0.89
3Final Score 3

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Vasco da Gama
T 0-0 at Fluminense
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-2 vs Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Money Line
L 1-2 at Coritiba
T 2-2 at Santos
L 4-0 vs Flamengo
L 0-2 at Bahia
L 0-1 at Palmeiras

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+112-+110+116+114+116+116+123.7
Chapecoense+246-+240+258+251+258+258+270.7
Draw+246-+235+241+235+241+241+253.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+123.7
Chapecoense-----+270.7
Draw-----+253.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bahia: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111-o2½-105o2½-105o2½-103o2½-105o2½-103o2½+104
Underu2½-109-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-116u2½-115u2½-115u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.46%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.77%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 318.76%
Exactly 54.07%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 030.24%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.63%
Exactly 38.62%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 041.20%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.12%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 057.48%
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 28.81%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 066.33%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.76%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals18.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.66%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals9.19%
Wins by 3+ goals2.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Chapecoense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal24.33%
Wins by 2 goals12.51%
Wins by 3 goals4.60%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal18.04%
Wins by 2 goals6.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.54%12.46%
1.561.59%38.41%
2.534.57%65.43%
3.515.81%84.19%
4.56.04%93.96%
5.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.76%30.24%
1.533.60%66.40%
2.511.97%88.03%
3.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.80%41.20%
1.522.26%77.74%
2.56.07%93.93%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.88%38.12%
1.525.11%74.89%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Chapecoense
Score01234
0
12.46%
11.05%
4.90%
1.45%
0.32%
1
14.90%
13.21%
5.86%
1.73%
0.38%
2
8.91%
7.90%
3.50%
1.04%
0.23%
3
3.55%
3.15%
1.40%
0.41%
0.09%
4
1.06%
0.94%
0.42%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.25%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Bahia
1-014.90%
2-08.91%
2-17.90%
3-03.55%
3-13.15%
3-21.40%
4-01.06%
4-10.94%
4-20.42%
4-30.12%
5-00.25%
5-10.23%
Draw
0-012.46%
1-113.21%
2-23.50%
3-30.41%
Chapecoense
0-111.05%
0-24.90%
1-25.86%
0-31.45%
1-31.73%
2-31.04%
0-40.32%
1-40.38%
2-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
38.12%
15.65%
3.21%
0.44%
1
21.11%
8.67%
1.78%
0.24%
2
5.85%
2.40%
0.49%
0.07%
3
1.08%
0.44%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Bahia
1-021.11%
2-05.85%
2-12.40%
3-01.08%
3-10.44%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-038.12%
1-18.67%
2-20.49%
Chapecoense
0-115.65%
0-23.21%
1-21.78%
0-30.44%
1-30.24%
Coritiba at Sao Paulo
Santos at Vasco da Gama