Sao Paulo at Chapecoense

Updated

Sao Paulo

44.6%29.9%25.5%
Sao Paulo WinDrawChapecoense Win
1.20Projected Goals 0.83
0Final Score 1

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coritiba
L 1-2 at Gremio
T 1-1 at Flamengo
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Chapecoense
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Bahia
L 1-2 at Coritiba
T 2-2 at Santos
L 4-0 vs Flamengo
L 0-2 at Bahia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+107--105+101+104+101+104+107.8
Chapecoense+274-+300+317+276+317+317+331.2
Draw+233-+220+237+240+237+240+248.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+107.8
Chapecoense-----+331.2
Draw-----+248.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115-o2½+130o2-140o2¼-122o2-140o2-140o2-128
Underu2½-135-u2½-157u2+120u2¼+102u2+120u2¼+102u2+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-128
Under-----u2+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.4%
 
No60.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.16%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.28%
Exactly 61.27%
 
Exactly 126.69%
Exactly 318.29%
Exactly 53.76%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 030.17%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 043.62%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.01%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.10%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 41.27%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 057.41%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 28.84%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 068.10%
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 25.03%
Exactly 30.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals19.55%
Wins by 3+ goals6.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals8.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Chapecoense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.02%
Wins by 2 goals13.00%
Wins by 3 goals4.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal17.32%
Wins by 2 goals6.23%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.84%13.16%
1.560.16%39.84%
2.533.09%66.91%
3.514.80%85.20%
4.55.52%94.48%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.83%30.17%
1.533.68%66.32%
2.512.02%87.98%
3.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.38%43.62%
1.520.19%79.81%
2.55.18%94.82%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.90%39.10%
1.524.18%75.82%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Chapecoense
Score01234
0
13.16%
10.92%
4.53%
1.25%
0.26%
1
15.77%
13.08%
5.43%
1.50%
0.31%
2
9.45%
7.84%
3.25%
0.90%
0.19%
3
3.77%
3.13%
1.30%
0.36%
0.07%
4
1.13%
0.94%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.27%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-015.77%
2-09.45%
2-17.84%
3-03.77%
3-13.13%
3-21.30%
4-01.13%
4-10.94%
4-20.39%
4-30.11%
5-00.27%
5-10.22%
Draw
0-013.16%
1-113.08%
2-23.25%
3-30.36%
Chapecoense
0-110.92%
0-24.53%
1-25.43%
0-31.25%
1-31.50%
2-30.90%
0-40.26%
1-40.31%
2-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
39.10%
15.02%
2.89%
0.37%
1
21.70%
8.33%
1.60%
0.20%
2
6.02%
2.31%
0.44%
0.06%
3
1.11%
0.43%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-021.70%
2-06.02%
2-12.31%
3-01.11%
3-10.43%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-039.10%
1-18.33%
2-20.44%
Chapecoense
0-115.02%
0-22.89%
1-21.60%
0-30.37%
1-30.20%
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