Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coritiba
Chapecoense 		26.6%
44.4%		28.9%
+220
+155

0.90
1.25		2.15
o2¼+108
u2¼-125

Cruzeiro
Mirassol 		31.5%
35.7%		32.8%
+192
+164

0.87
0.94		1.81
o2¼-110
u2¼-105

Gremio
Sao Paulo 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+360
-105

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-115
u2¼+100

Bahia
Vasco da Gama 		24.9%
47.5%		27.5%
+237
+131

0.92
1.37		2.29
o2½-114
u2½+102

Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santos
Atletico Goianiense		28.7%
43.4%		27.8%
+295
+114
+325
-110
0
0		-1.21500-1.27561-1.27927
Bahia
Flamengo		14.0%
75.9%		10.1%
+504
-160
+500
-180
0
3		-0.49628-0.49109-0.27589
Internacional
Juventude		45.2%
27.3%		27.5%
+207
+181
+210
+160
1
2		-1.05927-1.00622-1.29792
America (MG)
Sport Recife		30.0%
39.3%		30.8%
+160
+200
+150
+205
3
2		-0.99623-0.96551-1.20417
Sao Paulo
Fortaleza		33.0%
36.8%		30.2%
+205
+174
+190
+170
1
1		-1.14668-1.14602-1.19634
Atletico Goianiense
Palmeiras		21.7%
55.8%		22.5%
+845
-263
+790
-260
0
4		-0.35853-0.37609-0.58306
Bragantino
Santos		36.5%
34.1%		29.4%
+195
+189
+200
+150
0
2		-1.05875-0.96582-1.07658
Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro		22.1%
56.6%		21.3%
+645
-175
+650
-180
0
3		-0.49204-0.49078-0.56983
Ceara
Athletico Paranaense		27.0%
44.6%		28.4%
+383
-120
+385
-125
1
2		-0.63822-0.63811-0.80748
Fluminense
Gremio		30.9%
41.2%		27.8%
+257
+142
+235
+145
0
1		-0.91009-0.94631-0.88579
Flamengo
Chapecoense		70.7%
15.9%		13.4%
-254
+762
-280
+780
2
2		-1.66316-1.65868-2.01081
Cuiaba
Ceara		22.5%
53.7%		23.8%
+385
+100
+355
-110
0
1		-0.70324-0.69663-0.62248
Sao Paulo
Bahia		41.7%
30.3%		28.0%
+165
+203
+150
+210
0
1		-1.13215-1.18061-1.19363
Athletico Paranaense
Bragantino		25.2%
48.2%		26.7%
+276
+120
+270
+115
2
0		-1.34857-1.35511-1.37940
Palmeiras
Santos		39.1%
32.3%		28.6%
+112
+291
+110
+275
2
0		-0.78054-0.79125-0.94002
America (MG)
Atletico Mineiro		16.6%
67.6%		15.8%
+486
-140
+480
-155
0
1		-0.55600-0.54713-0.39144
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55198 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64930
-0.09732

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.