Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coritiba
Chapecoense 		26.6%
44.4%		28.9%
+215
+155

0.90
1.25		2.15
o2¼+108
u2¼-125

Cruzeiro
Mirassol 		31.5%
35.7%		32.8%
+192
+169

0.87
0.94		1.81
o2¼-110
u2¼-105

Gremio
Sao Paulo 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+360
-105

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-115
u2¼+102

Bahia
Vasco da Gama 		24.9%
47.5%		27.5%
+230
+128

0.92
1.37		2.29
o2½-114
u2¾-122

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sport Recife
Bragantino		18.6%
61.5%		19.9%
+637
-200
+670
-220
0
3		-0.43978-0.42341-0.48662
Fluminense
Santos		32.5%
38.7%		28.8%
+216
+160
+200
+160
0
2		-0.98612-1.00550-0.94840
Ceara
Bahia		33.7%
37.0%		29.3%
+299
+111
+280
+110
1
1		-1.21898-1.21372-1.22700
Sport Recife
Palmeiras		17.3%
64.2%		18.6%
+860
-256
+835
-270
1
2		-0.35673-0.36551-0.44329
Gremio
Atletico Goianiense		30.4%
41.1%		28.4%
+173
+193
+180
+175
0
2		-1.10271-1.06430-0.88863
Chapecoense
Bahia		21.4%
56.6%		22.0%
+621
-200
+595
-215
0
3		-0.43317-0.43181-0.56911
Sao Paulo
Bragantino		29.7%
42.1%		28.1%
+181
+178
+180
+170
0
1		-1.05400-1.04214-0.86462
Corinthians
Internacional		26.3%
47.0%		26.6%
+280
+128
+290
+115
2
2		-1.16645-1.16334-1.32264
Cuiaba
Atletico Mineiro		14.9%
71.2%		13.9%
+1100
-336
+1000
-350
1
2		-0.28344-0.30059-0.33961
Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza		28.1%
42.5%		29.4%
+618
-172
+600
-195
0
3		-0.48281-0.46351-0.85663
Flamengo
Fluminense		46.9%
28.8%		24.3%
-115
+400
-120
+375
1
3		-1.64057-1.60699-1.24559
Ceara
Juventude		37.6%
32.0%		30.4%
+196
+196
+175
+190
0
0		-1.11200-1.11663-1.19218
America (MG)
Santos		26.0%
48.1%		25.9%
+230
+150
+220
+145
2
0		-1.21419-1.21053-1.34657
Bragantino
Internacional		29.6%
42.5%		27.9%
+365
-113
+365
-120
1
1		-1.32407-1.28750-1.27536
Palmeiras
Ceara		36.9%
33.3%		29.8%
+145
+225
+135
+215
2
1		-0.92123-0.90387-0.99761
Corinthians
Sao Paulo		25.3%
48.5%		26.2%
+319
+120
+310
+110
0
1		-0.80207-0.79398-0.72330
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55198 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64930
-0.09732

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.