Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gremio
Sao Paulo 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+360
-105

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-115
u2¼+100

Bahia
Vasco da Gama 		24.9%
47.5%		27.5%
+230
+128

0.92
1.37		2.29
o2½-114
u2½+102

Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Coritiba
Chapecoense 		26.6%
44.4%		28.9%
+171
+181

2.15
o2¼-112
u2¼-105

1st H
28:00		0
0
Cruzeiro
Mirassol 		31.5%
35.7%		32.8%
+212
+145

1.81
o2¼-110
u2¼-105

1st H
29:00		1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Juventude
Flamengo		11.4%
79.8%		8.8%
+804
-257
+830
-290
1
3		-0.36677-0.34612-0.22615
Palmeiras
Bahia		43.7%
29.4%		27.0%
+138
+220
+135
+215
0
0		-1.23543-1.22809-1.31007
Atletico Goianiense
Bragantino		23.2%
53.0%		23.8%
+425
-125
+420
-135
0
1		-0.61669-0.60547-0.63520
Sao Paulo
Cuiaba		45.0%
27.3%		27.7%
+123
+295
+120
+290
0
0		-1.14420-1.13054-1.28345
Gremio
Santos		31.3%
41.3%		27.4%
+190
+175
+185
+170
0
1		-1.04015-1.04120-0.88382
Chapecoense
Internacional		14.2%
70.8%		15.1%
+763
-245
+750
-260
2
5		-0.37606-0.37673-0.34549
America (MG)
Juventude		31.9%
37.1%		31.0%
+180
+215
+170
+215
1
1		-1.08850-1.06178-1.16983
Bragantino
Palmeiras		27.6%
45.9%		26.5%
+362
-119
+340
-120
4
2		-1.56437-1.53090-1.28790
Flamengo
Fortaleza		46.6%
28.8%		24.6%
+156
+215
+150
+210
3
0		-0.96037-0.96551-0.76366
Bahia
Athletico Paranaense		23.5%
52.1%		24.5%
+454
-140
+445
-155
2
0		-1.73926-1.74864-1.45026
Corinthians
Sport Recife		37.8%
31.1%		31.1%
+125
+333
+115
+310
0
1		-1.49148-1.46343-1.16841
Atletico Goianiense
Fluminense		26.3%
47.0%		26.7%
+390
-105
+360
-105
0
0		-1.18277-1.18224-1.32114
Ceara
Atletico Mineiro		20.4%
60.7%		18.9%
+663
-185
+700
-225
1
3		-0.45770-0.41899-0.49909
Santos
Sao Paulo		22.6%
55.2%		22.2%
+461
-139
+460
-145
1
1		-1.33003-1.32799-1.50634
Cuiaba
Gremio		22.6%
55.0%		22.5%
+658
-184
+650
-190
2
2		-1.41568-1.38537-1.49246
Palmeiras
America (MG)		47.8%
25.9%		26.3%
+190
+175
+180
+170
1
2		-1.02856-1.04214-1.35143
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55198 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64930
-0.09732

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.