Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fluminense
Bahia 		30.4%
40.9%		28.7%
+270
+119

1.01
1.22		2.23
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Chapecoense
Vasco da Gama 		17.0%
58.0%		24.9%
+575
-179

0.73
1.60		2.33
o2½-105
u2½-105

Coritiba
Cruzeiro 		13.9%
62.4%		23.7%
+800
-250

0.64
1.68		2.32
o2¼-122
u2½-115

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Feb 4, 2026
Games for Feb 10, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gremio
Atletico Mineiro		19.7%
56.3%		24.0%
+475
-145

3
1		-1.78046-1.62470
Vasco da Gama
Santos		17.1%
58.3%		24.5%
+346
-117

6
0		-1.52966-1.76393
Bahia
Corinthians		30.0%
40.5%		29.6%
+198
+160

2
1		-1.13085-1.20561
Sao Paulo
Sport Recife		32.8%
34.7%		32.5%
+330
+108

2
2		-1.20161-1.12538
Juventude
Vitoria		21.0%
53.0%		26.0%
+445
-144

2
2		-1.34935-1.34577
Fortaleza
Fluminense		20.4%
54.1%		25.4%
+432
-131

1
2		-0.59880-0.61400
Bragantino
Ceara		27.4%
44.8%		27.8%
+265
+121

0
1		-0.84285-0.80339
Corinthians
Juventude		31.7%
36.7%		31.6%
+102
+349

1
2		-1.53072-1.00329
Sport Recife
Gremio		19.6%
53.8%		26.6%
+366
-115

1
0		-1.56969-1.62821
Santos
Cruzeiro		19.7%
52.9%		27.4%
+531
-180

2
1		-1.87758-1.62547
Ceara
Palmeiras		10.6%
70.6%		18.8%
+795
-248

1
2		-0.38431-0.34803
Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama		36.3%
33.6%		30.1%
+185
+186

1
1		-1.13193-1.19968
Fluminense
Bahia		22.4%
51.8%		25.8%
+499
-147

3
3		-1.34017-1.35604
Botafogo RJ
Fortaleza		31.0%
38.8%		30.2%
+207
+157

5
0		-1.15642-1.17096
Mirassol
Flamengo		7.5%
77.7%		14.8%
+940
-302

1
2		-0.32215-0.25211
Vitoria
Sao Paulo		17.6%
58.8%		23.6%
+460
-136

0
2		-0.59093-0.53077
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-0-2 (0.800)0-0.96311 
Sportsbooks50-0-2 (0.700)5 
DRatings53-0-2 (0.800)0-1.00582
-0.04270

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.