Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Coritiba
Chapecoense 		26.6%
44.4%		28.9%
+205
+155

0.90
1.25		2.15
o2-115
u2+105

Cruzeiro
Mirassol 		31.5%
35.7%		32.8%
+230
+143

0.87
0.94		1.81
o2¼-112
u2¼-105

Gremio
Sao Paulo 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+330
+100

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-115
u2¼+100

Bahia
Vasco da Gama 		24.9%
47.5%		27.5%
+243
+128

0.92
1.37		2.29
o2½-114
u2½-105

Games for Feb 10, 2026
Games for Feb 12, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fortaleza
Santos		32.4%
38.3%		29.2%
+185
+186
+175
+180
0
2		-1.07884-1.08232-0.95847
Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo		24.5%
49.0%		26.5%
+405
-110
+400
-115
0
0		-1.20992-1.20942-1.32727
Internacional
Fluminense		32.2%
38.3%		29.5%
+240
+145
+240
+135
0
1		-0.91764-0.90084-0.96014
Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras		32.8%
39.3%		27.9%
-119
+397
-130
+380
2
2		-1.31312-1.33097-1.27726
Flamengo
Gremio		49.7%
27.6%		22.7%
+270
+104
+290
-105
2
2		-1.31845-1.31602-1.48166
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense		22.2%
53.3%		24.4%
+310
+124
+290
+125
1
1		-1.11069-1.09775-1.40981
Cuiaba
Bahia		26.6%
47.1%		26.3%
+390
-115
+380
-120
0
0		-1.24573-1.25994-1.33644
America (MG)
Fluminense		23.1%
52.9%		24.0%
+265
+128
+285
+105
0
2		-0.84239-0.76718-0.63690
Santos
Corinthians		25.9%
48.5%		25.6%
+400
-125
+450
-135
0
2		-0.64044-0.60349-0.72276
Flamengo
Internacional		41.8%
31.9%		26.3%
+116
+295
+105
+255
2
1		-0.78465-0.76776-0.87148
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense		29.7%
41.1%		29.3%
+250
+141
+230
+140
1
1		-1.16536-1.15031-1.22902
Juventude
Atletico Mineiro		14.1%
72.8%		13.1%
+1032
-294
+1000
-315
0
2		-0.32330-0.32444-0.31728
Gremio
Chapecoense		45.7%
27.4%		26.9%
-175
+530
-190
+525
3
1		-0.48246-0.46949-0.78277
Palmeiras
Fortaleza		34.3%
35.5%		30.2%
+190
+165
+185
+165
0
1		-1.00400-1.02413-1.03634
Bahia
Sport Recife		30.9%
39.8%		29.3%
+182
+185
+185
+170
0
1		-1.08013-1.04120-0.92155
Corinthians
Flamengo		18.8%
65.1%		16.1%
+350
-110
+350
-110
0
1		-0.69021-0.69453-0.42948
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55198 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.64930
-0.09732

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.