Real Madrid at Paris Saint-Germain

Updated

Real Madrid

30.6%26.7%42.7%
Real Madrid WinDrawParis Saint-Germain Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.42
0Final Score 1

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Inter+140
W 1-2 vs Shakhtar-525
W 5-0 at Shakhtar-155
W 1-0 at Inter+210
L 0-2 at Chelsea+220
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Club Brugge-375
L 1-2 at Manchester City+480
T 2-2 at RB Leipzig+160
W 2-3 vs RB Leipzig-180
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+255+306+265+300+293+300+306+313.8
Paris Saint-Germain-105-104-110-112-120-112-104-102.6
Draw+280+279+265+290+283+290+290+297.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+260-+288-+260+300+300+313.8
Paris Saint-Germain+100--112--130-115-112-102.6
Draw+265-+282-+250+275+282+297.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 30.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +320 to +300
Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -112 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 30.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +310 to +300
Paris Saint-Germain ML moved from -115 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+106o3-102o2¾-123-o2¾-123o2¾-123o3+114
Underu3-122u3-121u3-118u2¾+107-u2¾+107u3-118u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+105o3+105-o3+100o3+105o3+105o3+114
Underu3-120u3-125u3-125-u3-130u3-125u3-125u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.74%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.85%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.31%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 56.26%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 036.15%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.71%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 024.18%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 311.53%
Exactly 44.09%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.36%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 062.43%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 26.93%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 051.83%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 211.19%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals9.89%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals22.38%
Wins by 3+ goals8.49%
Wins by 4+ goals2.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal17.06%
Wins by 2 goals7.13%
Wins by 3 goals2.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal23.81%
Wins by 2 goals13.89%
Wins by 3 goals5.91%
Wins by 4 goals1.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.26%8.74%
1.569.95%30.05%
2.543.99%56.01%
3.522.90%77.10%
4.510.06%89.94%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.85%36.15%
1.527.07%72.93%
2.58.35%91.65%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.82%24.18%
1.541.49%58.51%
2.517.12%82.88%
3.55.59%94.41%
4.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.64%32.36%
1.531.13%68.87%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
8.74%
12.41%
8.81%
4.17%
1.48%
0.42%
1
8.90%
12.63%
8.96%
4.24%
1.50%
0.43%
2
4.53%
6.42%
4.56%
2.16%
0.77%
0.22%
3
1.53%
2.18%
1.55%
0.73%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.39%
0.55%
0.39%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-08.90%
2-04.53%
2-16.42%
3-01.53%
3-12.18%
3-21.55%
4-00.39%
4-10.55%
4-20.39%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.74%
1-112.63%
2-24.56%
3-30.73%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-112.41%
0-28.81%
1-28.96%
0-34.17%
1-34.24%
2-32.16%
0-41.48%
1-41.50%
2-40.77%
3-40.26%
0-50.42%
1-50.43%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain
Score01234
0
32.36%
21.27%
6.99%
1.53%
0.25%
1
15.24%
10.02%
3.29%
0.72%
0.12%
2
3.59%
2.36%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.56%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-015.24%
2-03.59%
2-12.36%
3-00.56%
3-10.37%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.36%
1-110.02%
2-20.78%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-121.27%
0-26.99%
1-23.29%
0-31.53%
1-30.72%
2-30.17%
0-40.25%
1-40.12%