Villarreal at Atalanta

Updated

Villarreal

28.2%21.3%50.4%
Villarreal WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.13Projected Goals 2.02
3Final Score 2

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Manchester United+165
W 0-2 vs Young Boys-265
W 4-1 at Young Boys+110
L 1-2 at Manchester United+565
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+140
Atalanta
Money Line
T 3-3 at Young Boys-150
T 2-2 vs Manchester United+195
L 2-3 at Manchester United+385
W 0-1 vs Young Boys-225
T 2-2 at Villarreal+202

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+285+403+390+415+420+415+420+424.6
Atalanta-115-135-155-148-158-148-135-130.4
Draw+290+299+320+305+292+305+320+310.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+270---+310+410+410+424.6
Atalanta-155----170-155-155-130.4
Draw+300---+285+310+310+310.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 40.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +412 to +403
Atalanta ML moved from -148 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 40.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +335 to +325
Atalanta ML moved from -145 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o2½-138o2¾-118o2¾-113-o2¾-113o2½-138o2¾+100
Underu3-105u2½+123u2¾-102u2¾-107-u2¾-107u2¾-102u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+115--o3-115o3+110o3+115o2¾+100
Underu3-115u3-135--u3-115u3-130u3-115u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.7%
 
No41.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.30%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 417.56%
Exactly 65.79%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.54%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.05%
Exactly 72.60%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 032.33%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 013.31%
Exactly 126.84%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.20%
Exactly 49.17%
Exactly 53.70%
Exactly 61.24%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.30%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 44.37%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 312.00%
Exactly 51.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 059.28%
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 28.10%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 039.31%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.14%
Exactly 35.33%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals7.75%
Wins by 3+ goals2.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals34.67%
Wins by 3+ goals17.07%
Wins by 4+ goals6.97%
Wins by 5+ goals2.37%
Wins by 6+ goals0.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Atalanta
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal12.93%
Wins by 2 goals5.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.11%
Wins by 2 goals17.60%
Wins by 3 goals10.10%
Wins by 4 goals4.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.53%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.70%4.30%
1.582.16%17.84%
2.560.87%39.13%
3.538.54%61.46%
4.520.98%79.02%
5.59.93%90.07%
6.54.14%95.86%
7.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.67%32.33%
1.531.17%68.83%
2.510.55%89.45%
3.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.69%13.31%
1.559.85%40.15%
2.532.79%67.21%
3.514.59%85.41%
4.55.42%94.58%
5.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.70%23.30%
1.542.75%57.25%
2.518.03%81.97%
3.56.03%93.97%
4.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Atalanta
Score012345
0
4.30%
8.68%
8.75%
5.88%
2.97%
1.20%
1
4.86%
9.80%
9.88%
6.64%
3.35%
1.35%
2
2.74%
5.53%
5.58%
3.75%
1.89%
0.76%
3
1.03%
2.08%
2.10%
1.41%
0.71%
0.29%
4
0.29%
0.59%
0.59%
0.40%
0.20%
0.08%
Villarreal
1-04.86%
2-02.74%
2-15.53%
3-01.03%
3-12.08%
3-22.10%
4-00.29%
4-10.59%
4-20.59%
4-30.40%
Draw
0-04.30%
1-19.80%
2-25.58%
3-31.41%
4-40.20%
Atalanta
0-18.68%
0-28.75%
1-29.88%
0-35.88%
1-36.64%
2-33.75%
0-42.97%
1-43.35%
2-41.89%
3-40.71%
0-51.20%
1-51.35%
2-50.76%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Atalanta
Score012345
0
23.30%
21.76%
10.16%
3.16%
0.74%
0.14%
1
12.18%
11.38%
5.31%
1.65%
0.39%
0.07%
2
3.18%
2.97%
1.39%
0.43%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.56%
0.52%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-012.18%
2-03.18%
2-12.97%
3-00.56%
3-10.52%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-023.30%
1-111.38%
2-21.39%
Atalanta
0-121.76%
0-210.16%
1-25.31%
0-33.16%
1-31.65%
2-30.43%
0-40.74%
1-40.39%
2-40.10%
0-50.14%