Manchester City at Villarreal

Updated

Manchester City

51.9%24.1%24.0%
Manchester City WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.69Projected Goals 1.07
2Final Score 0

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Monaco-260
W 0-2 vs Napoli-170
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+275
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+100
W 1-3 vs Club Brugge-460
Villarreal
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Juventus+130
L 0-1 at Tottenham+310
L 3-2 vs Liverpool+375
L 0-2 at Liverpool+975
T 1-1 at Bayern Munich+1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-135-141-145-140-140-140-140-129.1
Villarreal+349+380+370+385+385+385+385+402.1
Draw+311+306+300+307+307+307+307+321.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-135--140-150-150-145-140-129.1
Villarreal+325-+365+350+320+375+375+402.1
Draw+300-+302+290+300+305+305+321.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -142 to -148
Villarreal ML moved from +380 to +365

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -135 to -150
Villarreal ML moved from +375 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+103o3+105o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-114
Underu3-124u3-121u3-125u2¾+105u2¾+105u2¾+105u3-121u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3-102o3-105-o3+100o3+100o2¾-114
Underu3-115u3-115u3-118u3-115-u3-120u3-115u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.33%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 415.30%
Exactly 63.89%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.47%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.45%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 018.43%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 314.86%
Exactly 46.28%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 034.34%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.86%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 39.69%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 045.71%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.01%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 060.96%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals28.11%
Wins by 3+ goals12.22%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.29%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals8.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals15.89%
Wins by 3 goals7.87%
Wins by 4 goals3.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.98%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal15.03%
Wins by 2 goals6.35%
Wins by 3 goals1.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.67%6.33%
1.576.20%23.80%
2.552.10%47.90%
3.529.92%70.08%
4.514.61%85.39%
5.56.17%93.83%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.57%18.43%
1.550.40%49.60%
2.524.04%75.96%
3.59.19%90.81%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.66%34.34%
1.528.96%71.04%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.14%27.86%
1.536.53%63.47%
2.513.78%86.22%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Villarreal
Score01234
0
6.33%
6.77%
3.62%
1.29%
0.34%
1
10.70%
11.44%
6.11%
2.18%
0.58%
2
9.05%
9.67%
5.17%
1.84%
0.49%
3
5.10%
5.45%
2.91%
1.04%
0.28%
4
2.16%
2.31%
1.23%
0.44%
0.12%
5
0.73%
0.78%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
Manchester City
1-010.70%
2-09.05%
2-19.67%
3-05.10%
3-15.45%
3-22.91%
4-02.16%
4-12.31%
4-21.23%
4-30.44%
5-00.73%
5-10.78%
5-20.42%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.33%
1-111.44%
2-25.17%
3-31.04%
4-40.12%
Villarreal
0-16.77%
0-23.62%
1-26.11%
0-31.29%
1-32.18%
2-31.84%
0-40.34%
1-40.58%
2-40.49%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Villarreal
Score0123
0
27.86%
13.79%
3.41%
0.56%
1
21.82%
10.80%
2.67%
0.44%
2
8.54%
4.23%
1.05%
0.17%
3
2.23%
1.10%
0.27%
0.05%
4
0.44%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-021.82%
2-08.54%
2-14.23%
3-02.23%
3-11.10%
3-20.27%
4-00.44%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-027.86%
1-110.80%
2-21.05%
Villarreal
0-113.79%
0-23.41%
1-22.67%
0-30.56%
1-30.44%
2-30.17%