## Liverpool

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Villarreal

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**1.0%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.8%**

Open Line | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | 5Dimes | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Liverpool | -162 | -140 | -145 | -145 | -145 | -130 | -130 | -129.7 |

Villarreal | +413 | +350 | +390 | +349 | +390 | +373 | +390 | +399.0 |

Draw | +306 | +310 | +315 | +306 | +315 | +307 | +315 | +325.6 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Liverpool | -175 | - | -139 | - | -170 | -145 | -139 | -129.7 |

Villarreal | +385 | - | +365 | - | +360 | +375 | +375 | +399.0 |

Draw | +265 | - | +299 | - | +275 | +305 | +305 | +325.6 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**2.8%**

#### Implied Margin

**2.9%**

Open Line | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | 5Dimes | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2¾-112 | o2¾-118 | o2¾-120 | - | o2¾-120 | o3+114 | o2¾-118 | o2¾-109 |

Under | u2¾-104 | u2¾-102 | u2¾+104 | - | u2¾+104 | u3-129 | u3-129 | u2¾+109 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3+100 | o3+110 | o3+110 | - | o3+100 | o3+115 | o3+115 | o2¾-109 |

Under | u3-130 | u3-130 | u3-130 | - | u3-130 | u3-135 | u3-130 | u2¾+109 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 53.3% |

No | 46.7% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 5.52% |

Exactly 2 | 23.16% |

Exactly 4 | 16.20% |

Exactly 6 | 4.53% |

Exactly 8 | 0.68% |

Exactly 1 | 15.99% |

Exactly 3 | 22.36% |

Exactly 5 | 9.38% |

Exactly 7 | 1.88% |

Exactly 9 | 0.22% |

Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 14.74% |

Exactly 1 | 28.22% |

Exactly 2 | 27.02% |

Exactly 3 | 17.24% |

Exactly 4 | 8.25% |

Exactly 5 | 3.16% |

Exactly 6 | 1.01% |

Exactly 7 | 0.28% |

Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 37.44% |

Exactly 1 | 36.78% |

Exactly 2 | 18.07% |

Exactly 3 | 5.92% |

Exactly 4 | 1.45% |

Exactly 5 | 0.29% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 26.15% |

Exactly 2 | 23.52% |

Exactly 4 | 3.53% |

Exactly 6 | 0.21% |

Exactly 1 | 35.08% |

Exactly 3 | 10.52% |

Exactly 5 | 0.95% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 41.21% |

Exactly 1 | 36.53% |

Exactly 2 | 16.19% |

Exactly 3 | 4.78% |

Exactly 4 | 1.06% |

Exactly 5 | 0.19% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 63.46% |

Exactly 1 | 28.86% |

Exactly 2 | 6.56% |

Exactly 3 | 1.00% |

Exactly 4 | 0.11% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Liverpool | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 34.92% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 16.76% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 6.64% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 2.19% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 6.47% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 1.70% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.34% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Liverpool

##### Villarreal

Liverpool | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 24.16% |

Wins by 2 goals | 18.15% |

Wins by 3 goals | 10.13% |

Wins by 4 goals | 4.45% |

Wins by 5 goals | 1.60% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 12.39% |

Wins by 2 goals | 4.77% |

Wins by 3 goals | 1.36% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.29% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 94.48% | 5.52% |

1.5 | 78.49% | 21.51% |

2.5 | 55.33% | 44.67% |

3.5 | 32.97% | 67.03% |

4.5 | 16.77% | 83.23% |

5.5 | 7.39% | 92.61% |

6.5 | 2.86% | 97.14% |

#### Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 85.26% | 14.74% |

1.5 | 57.04% | 42.96% |

2.5 | 30.02% | 69.98% |

3.5 | 12.78% | 87.22% |

4.5 | 4.53% | 95.47% |

5.5 | 1.37% | 98.63% |

#### Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 62.56% | 37.44% |

1.5 | 25.77% | 74.23% |

2.5 | 7.71% | 92.29% |

3.5 | 1.79% | 98.21% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 73.85% | 26.15% |

1.5 | 38.77% | 61.23% |

2.5 | 15.25% | 84.75% |

3.5 | 4.73% | 95.27% |

4.5 | 1.21% | 98.79% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 5.52% | 5.42% | 2.66% | 0.87% | 0.21% |

1 | 10.57% | 10.38% | 5.10% | 1.67% | 0.41% |

2 | 10.12% | 9.94% | 4.88% | 1.60% | 0.39% |

3 | 6.46% | 6.34% | 3.12% | 1.02% | 0.25% |

4 | 3.09% | 3.04% | 1.49% | 0.49% | 0.12% |

5 | 1.18% | 1.16% | 0.57% | 0.19% | 0.05% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

1-0 | 10.57% |

2-0 | 10.12% |

2-1 | 9.94% |

3-0 | 6.46% |

3-1 | 6.34% |

3-2 | 3.12% |

4-0 | 3.09% |

4-1 | 3.04% |

4-2 | 1.49% |

4-3 | 0.49% |

5-0 | 1.18% |

5-1 | 1.16% |

5-2 | 0.57% |

5-3 | 0.19% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 5.52% |

1-1 | 10.38% |

2-2 | 4.88% |

3-3 | 1.02% |

4-4 | 0.12% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

0-1 | 5.42% |

0-2 | 2.66% |

1-2 | 5.10% |

0-3 | 0.87% |

1-3 | 1.67% |

2-3 | 1.60% |

0-4 | 0.21% |

1-4 | 0.41% |

2-4 | 0.39% |

3-4 | 0.25% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 26.15% | 11.89% | 2.70% | 0.41% |

1 | 23.18% | 10.54% | 2.40% | 0.36% |

2 | 10.28% | 4.67% | 1.06% | 0.16% |

3 | 3.04% | 1.38% | 0.31% | 0.05% |

4 | 0.67% | 0.31% | 0.07% | 0.01% |

5 | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

1-0 | 23.18% |

2-0 | 10.28% |

2-1 | 4.67% |

3-0 | 3.04% |

3-1 | 1.38% |

3-2 | 0.31% |

4-0 | 0.67% |

4-1 | 0.31% |

5-0 | 0.12% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 26.15% |

1-1 | 10.54% |

2-2 | 1.06% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

0-1 | 11.89% |

0-2 | 2.70% |

1-2 | 2.40% |

0-3 | 0.41% |

1-3 | 0.36% |

2-3 | 0.16% |