Liverpool at Villarreal

Updated

Liverpool

59.2%21.9%18.9%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 0.98
3Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Villarreal-350
T 3-3 vs Benfica-255
W 3-1 at Benfica-255
L 1-0 vs Inter-180
W 2-0 at Inter+115
Villarreal
Money Line
L 0-2 at Liverpool+975
T 1-1 at Bayern Munich+1000
W 0-1 vs Bayern Munich+460
W 3-0 at Juventus+280
T 1-1 vs Juventus+147

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-162-140-145-145-145-130-130-129.7
Villarreal+413+350+390+349+390+373+390+399.0
Draw+306+310+315+306+315+307+315+325.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-175--139--170-145-139-129.7
Villarreal+385-+365-+360+375+375+399.0
Draw+265-+299-+275+305+305+325.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Villarreal: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -144 to -151
Villarreal ML moved from +373 to +349

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Liverpool ML
Villarreal ML moved from +375 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-118o2¾-120-o2¾-120o3+114o2¾-118o2¾-109
Underu2¾-104u2¾-102u2¾+104-u2¾+104u3-129u3-129u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+110o3+110-o3+100o3+115o3+115o2¾-109
Underu3-130u3-130u3-130-u3-130u3-135u3-130u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+110 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.52%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 416.20%
Exactly 64.53%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 115.99%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.38%
Exactly 71.88%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 014.74%
Exactly 128.22%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.24%
Exactly 48.25%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 037.44%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.07%
Exactly 35.92%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.15%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 43.53%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 310.52%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 041.21%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 063.46%
Exactly 128.86%
Exactly 26.56%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals34.92%
Wins by 3+ goals16.76%
Wins by 4+ goals6.64%
Wins by 5+ goals2.19%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals6.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals18.15%
Wins by 3 goals10.13%
Wins by 4 goals4.45%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal12.39%
Wins by 2 goals4.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.48%5.52%
1.578.49%21.51%
2.555.33%44.67%
3.532.97%67.03%
4.516.77%83.23%
5.57.39%92.61%
6.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.26%14.74%
1.557.04%42.96%
2.530.02%69.98%
3.512.78%87.22%
4.54.53%95.47%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.56%37.44%
1.525.77%74.23%
2.57.71%92.29%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.85%26.15%
1.538.77%61.23%
2.515.25%84.75%
3.54.73%95.27%
4.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Villarreal
Score01234
0
5.52%
5.42%
2.66%
0.87%
0.21%
1
10.57%
10.38%
5.10%
1.67%
0.41%
2
10.12%
9.94%
4.88%
1.60%
0.39%
3
6.46%
6.34%
3.12%
1.02%
0.25%
4
3.09%
3.04%
1.49%
0.49%
0.12%
5
1.18%
1.16%
0.57%
0.19%
0.05%
Liverpool
1-010.57%
2-010.12%
2-19.94%
3-06.46%
3-16.34%
3-23.12%
4-03.09%
4-13.04%
4-21.49%
4-30.49%
5-01.18%
5-11.16%
5-20.57%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.52%
1-110.38%
2-24.88%
3-31.02%
4-40.12%
Villarreal
0-15.42%
0-22.66%
1-25.10%
0-30.87%
1-31.67%
2-31.60%
0-40.21%
1-40.41%
2-40.39%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Villarreal
Score0123
0
26.15%
11.89%
2.70%
0.41%
1
23.18%
10.54%
2.40%
0.36%
2
10.28%
4.67%
1.06%
0.16%
3
3.04%
1.38%
0.31%
0.05%
4
0.67%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-023.18%
2-010.28%
2-14.67%
3-03.04%
3-11.38%
3-20.31%
4-00.67%
4-10.31%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-026.15%
1-110.54%
2-21.06%
Villarreal
0-111.89%
0-22.70%
1-22.40%
0-30.41%
1-30.36%
2-30.16%