Villarreal at Liverpool

Updated

Villarreal

7.8%13.7%78.5%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.69
0Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bayern Munich+1000
W 0-1 vs Bayern Munich+460
W 3-0 at Juventus+280
T 1-1 vs Juventus+147
W 3-2 at Atalanta+410
Liverpool
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Benfica-255
W 3-1 at Benfica-255
L 1-0 vs Inter-180
W 2-0 at Inter+115
W 2-1 at Milan+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+1000+800+1075+1037+1075+1040+1075+1051.8
Liverpool-385-315-375-390-375-341-315-308.1
Draw+475+420+520+485+520+514+520+532.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+1115-+975--+925+975+1051.8
Liverpool-400--350---350-350-308.1
Draw+500-+470--+475+475+532.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +1064 to +1040
Liverpool ML moved from -360 to -375

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +925 to +890
Liverpool ML moved from -327 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-113o2¾-122o2¾-140-o2¾-140o3+101o2¾-122o3+109
Underu3-103u2¾+102u2¾+120-u2¾+120u3-116u2¾+120u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+115o3+100-o3+100o3+100o3+115o3+109
Underu3-105u3-135u3-120-u3-130u3-120u3-120u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.25%
Exactly 219.07%
Exactly 418.67%
Exactly 67.31%
Exactly 81.53%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.13%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 512.80%
Exactly 73.58%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 047.77%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 213.04%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 414.80%
Exactly 57.96%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 80.46%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.46%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 071.03%
Exactly 124.30%
Exactly 24.16%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 028.80%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals1.99%
Wins by 3+ goals0.37%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals57.67%
Wins by 3+ goals35.96%
Wins by 4+ goals19.06%
Wins by 5+ goals8.67%
Wins by 6+ goals3.42%
Wins by 7+ goals1.17%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal5.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.33%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal20.80%
Wins by 2 goals21.71%
Wins by 3 goals16.90%
Wins by 4 goals10.39%
Wins by 5 goals5.25%
Wins by 6 goals2.25%
Wins by 7 goals0.83%
Wins by 8 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.75%3.25%
1.585.62%14.38%
2.566.55%33.45%
3.544.76%55.24%
4.526.09%73.91%
5.513.29%86.71%
6.55.98%94.02%
7.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.23%47.77%
1.516.94%83.06%
2.53.90%96.10%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.92%25.08%
2.550.35%49.65%
3.528.33%71.67%
4.513.54%86.46%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.54%20.46%
1.547.08%52.92%
2.521.32%78.68%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Liverpool
Score012345
0
3.25%
8.73%
11.74%
10.52%
7.07%
3.80%
1
2.40%
6.45%
8.67%
7.77%
5.22%
2.81%
2
0.89%
2.38%
3.20%
2.87%
1.93%
1.04%
3
0.22%
0.59%
0.79%
0.71%
0.48%
0.26%
Villarreal
1-02.40%
2-00.89%
2-12.38%
3-00.22%
3-10.59%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-03.25%
1-16.45%
2-23.20%
3-30.71%
Liverpool
0-18.73%
0-211.74%
1-28.67%
0-310.52%
1-37.77%
2-32.87%
0-47.07%
1-45.22%
2-41.93%
3-40.48%
0-53.80%
1-52.81%
2-51.04%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
20.46%
25.47%
15.85%
6.58%
2.05%
0.51%
0.11%
1
7.00%
8.71%
5.42%
2.25%
0.70%
0.17%
0.04%
2
1.20%
1.49%
0.93%
0.38%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.17%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-07.00%
2-01.20%
2-11.49%
3-00.14%
3-10.17%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-020.46%
1-18.71%
2-20.93%
Liverpool
0-125.47%
0-215.85%
1-25.42%
0-36.58%
1-32.25%
2-30.38%
0-42.05%
1-40.70%
2-40.12%
0-50.51%
1-50.17%
0-60.11%