## Villarreal

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Liverpool

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**0.5%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.3%**

Open Line | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | 5Dimes | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Villarreal | +1000 | +800 | +1075 | +1037 | +1075 | +1040 | +1075 | +1051.8 |

Liverpool | -385 | -315 | -375 | -390 | -375 | -341 | -315 | -308.1 |

Draw | +475 | +420 | +520 | +485 | +520 | +514 | +520 | +532.0 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Villarreal | +1115 | - | +975 | - | - | +925 | +975 | +1051.8 |

Liverpool | -400 | - | -350 | - | - | -350 | -350 | -308.1 |

Draw | +500 | - | +470 | - | - | +475 | +475 | +532.0 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**0.4%**

#### Implied Margin

**1.0%**

Open Line | Bovada | BetOnline | GTBets | SportsBetting | 5Dimes | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3-113 | o2¾-122 | o2¾-140 | - | o2¾-140 | o3+101 | o2¾-122 | o3+109 |

Under | u3-103 | u2¾+102 | u2¾+120 | - | u2¾+120 | u3-116 | u2¾+120 | u3-109 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3-115 | o3+115 | o3+100 | - | o3+100 | o3+100 | o3+115 | o3+109 |

Under | u3-105 | u3-135 | u3-120 | - | u3-130 | u3-120 | u3-120 | u3-109 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 48.7% |

No | 51.3% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 3.25% |

Exactly 2 | 19.07% |

Exactly 4 | 18.67% |

Exactly 6 | 7.31% |

Exactly 8 | 1.53% |

Exactly 10 | 0.20% |

Exactly 1 | 11.13% |

Exactly 3 | 21.79% |

Exactly 5 | 12.80% |

Exactly 7 | 3.58% |

Exactly 9 | 0.58% |

Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 47.77% |

Exactly 1 | 35.29% |

Exactly 2 | 13.04% |

Exactly 3 | 3.21% |

Exactly 4 | 0.59% |

Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 6.80% |

Exactly 1 | 18.28% |

Exactly 2 | 24.57% |

Exactly 3 | 22.02% |

Exactly 4 | 14.80% |

Exactly 5 | 7.96% |

Exactly 6 | 3.57% |

Exactly 7 | 1.37% |

Exactly 8 | 0.46% |

Exactly 9 | 0.14% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 20.46% |

Exactly 2 | 25.76% |

Exactly 4 | 5.40% |

Exactly 6 | 0.45% |

Exactly 1 | 32.46% |

Exactly 3 | 13.62% |

Exactly 5 | 1.71% |

Exactly 7 | 0.10% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 71.03% |

Exactly 1 | 24.30% |

Exactly 2 | 4.16% |

Exactly 3 | 0.47% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 28.80% |

Exactly 1 | 35.85% |

Exactly 2 | 22.31% |

Exactly 3 | 9.26% |

Exactly 4 | 2.88% |

Exactly 5 | 0.72% |

Exactly 6 | 0.15% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 1.99% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 0.37% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 57.67% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 35.96% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 19.06% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 8.67% |

Wins by 6+ goals | 3.42% |

Wins by 7+ goals | 1.17% |

Wins by 8+ goals | 0.33% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Villarreal

##### Liverpool

Villarreal | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 5.70% |

Wins by 2 goals | 1.62% |

Wins by 3 goals | 0.33% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 20.80% |

Wins by 2 goals | 21.71% |

Wins by 3 goals | 16.90% |

Wins by 4 goals | 10.39% |

Wins by 5 goals | 5.25% |

Wins by 6 goals | 2.25% |

Wins by 7 goals | 0.83% |

Wins by 8 goals | 0.27% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 96.75% | 3.25% |

1.5 | 85.62% | 14.38% |

2.5 | 66.55% | 33.45% |

3.5 | 44.76% | 55.24% |

4.5 | 26.09% | 73.91% |

5.5 | 13.29% | 86.71% |

6.5 | 5.98% | 94.02% |

7.5 | 2.40% | 97.60% |

#### Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 52.23% | 47.77% |

1.5 | 16.94% | 83.06% |

2.5 | 3.90% | 96.10% |

#### Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 93.20% | 6.80% |

1.5 | 74.92% | 25.08% |

2.5 | 50.35% | 49.65% |

3.5 | 28.33% | 71.67% |

4.5 | 13.54% | 86.46% |

5.5 | 5.58% | 94.42% |

6.5 | 2.02% | 97.98% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 79.54% | 20.46% |

1.5 | 47.08% | 52.92% |

2.5 | 21.32% | 78.68% |

3.5 | 7.70% | 92.30% |

4.5 | 2.30% | 97.70% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 3.25% | 8.73% | 11.74% | 10.52% | 7.07% | 3.80% |

1 | 2.40% | 6.45% | 8.67% | 7.77% | 5.22% | 2.81% |

2 | 0.89% | 2.38% | 3.20% | 2.87% | 1.93% | 1.04% |

3 | 0.22% | 0.59% | 0.79% | 0.71% | 0.48% | 0.26% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

1-0 | 2.40% |

2-0 | 0.89% |

2-1 | 2.38% |

3-0 | 0.22% |

3-1 | 0.59% |

3-2 | 0.79% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 3.25% |

1-1 | 6.45% |

2-2 | 3.20% |

3-3 | 0.71% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

0-1 | 8.73% |

0-2 | 11.74% |

1-2 | 8.67% |

0-3 | 10.52% |

1-3 | 7.77% |

2-3 | 2.87% |

0-4 | 7.07% |

1-4 | 5.22% |

2-4 | 1.93% |

3-4 | 0.48% |

0-5 | 3.80% |

1-5 | 2.81% |

2-5 | 1.04% |

3-5 | 0.26% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 20.46% | 25.47% | 15.85% | 6.58% | 2.05% | 0.51% | 0.11% |

1 | 7.00% | 8.71% | 5.42% | 2.25% | 0.70% | 0.17% | 0.04% |

2 | 1.20% | 1.49% | 0.93% | 0.38% | 0.12% | 0.03% | 0.01% |

3 | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.11% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |

Villarreal | |
---|---|

1-0 | 7.00% |

2-0 | 1.20% |

2-1 | 1.49% |

3-0 | 0.14% |

3-1 | 0.17% |

3-2 | 0.11% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 20.46% |

1-1 | 8.71% |

2-2 | 0.93% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

0-1 | 25.47% |

0-2 | 15.85% |

1-2 | 5.42% |

0-3 | 6.58% |

1-3 | 2.25% |

2-3 | 0.38% |

0-4 | 2.05% |

1-4 | 0.70% |

2-4 | 0.12% |

0-5 | 0.51% |

1-5 | 0.17% |

0-6 | 0.11% |