Liverpool at Real Madrid

Updated

Liverpool

28.0%26.3%45.6%
Liverpool WinDrawReal Madrid Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.45
0Final Score 1

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Real Madrid+127
W 0-2 vs Napoli-110
W 3-0 at Ajax-110
W 7-1 at Rangers-210
W 0-2 vs Rangers-800
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 5-2 at Liverpool+213
W 1-5 vs Celtic-440
L 2-3 at RB Leipzig+200
T 1-1 at Shakhtar-220
W 1-2 vs Shakhtar-525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+230+181+175+176+186+176+186+185.8
Real Madrid+105+135+135+133+133+133+135+141.2
Draw+265+285+295+310+311+310+311+324.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+220-+169-+180+180+180+185.8
Real Madrid+100-+133-+110+130+133+141.2
Draw+320-+298-+290+290+298+324.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +191 to +185
Real Madrid ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +185 to +170
Real Madrid ML moved from +130 to +124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-136o3¼-102o3-135o3-126o3-135o3-126o3-124
Underu3-112u3+116u3¼-118u3+115u3+111u3+115u3+116u3+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-135o3-130-o3-140o3-135o3-130o3-124
Underu3-115u3+115u3+110-u3+110u3+115u3+115u3+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.05%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.52%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.28%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.81%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 034.18%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 023.55%
Exactly 134.05%
Exactly 224.62%
Exactly 311.87%
Exactly 44.29%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.14%
Exactly 221.19%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 060.83%
Exactly 130.24%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 051.19%
Exactly 134.28%
Exactly 211.48%
Exactly 32.56%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals10.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals22.23%
Wins by 3+ goals8.52%
Wins by 4+ goals2.62%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal17.32%
Wins by 2 goals7.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.34%
Wins by 2 goals13.71%
Wins by 3 goals5.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.95%8.05%
1.571.67%28.33%
2.546.12%53.88%
3.524.66%75.34%
4.511.15%88.85%
5.54.33%95.67%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.82%34.18%
1.529.13%70.87%
2.59.43%90.57%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.45%23.55%
1.542.40%57.60%
2.517.78%82.22%
3.55.91%94.09%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.86%31.14%
1.532.53%67.47%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.09%96.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
8.05%
11.64%
8.42%
4.06%
1.47%
0.42%
1
8.64%
12.50%
9.04%
4.36%
1.57%
0.46%
2
4.64%
6.71%
4.85%
2.34%
0.85%
0.24%
3
1.66%
2.40%
1.74%
0.84%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.45%
0.64%
0.47%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
Liverpool
1-08.64%
2-04.64%
2-16.71%
3-01.66%
3-12.40%
3-21.74%
4-00.45%
4-10.64%
4-20.47%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-08.05%
1-112.50%
2-24.85%
3-30.84%
Real Madrid
0-111.64%
0-28.42%
1-29.04%
0-34.06%
1-34.36%
2-32.34%
0-41.47%
1-41.57%
2-40.85%
3-40.30%
0-50.42%
1-50.46%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
31.14%
20.85%
6.98%
1.56%
0.26%
1
15.48%
10.36%
3.47%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.85%
2.58%
0.86%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.64%
0.43%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-015.48%
2-03.85%
2-12.58%
3-00.64%
3-10.43%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.14%
1-110.36%
2-20.86%
Real Madrid
0-120.85%
0-26.98%
1-23.47%
0-31.56%
1-30.77%
2-30.19%
0-40.26%
1-40.13%