Manchester Utd at Villarreal

Updated

Manchester United

43.0%25.5%31.5%
Manchester Utd WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.52Projected Goals 1.12
2Final Score 0

Villarreal

Last 4 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Atalanta+131
W 2-3 vs Atalanta-160
W 1-2 vs Villarreal-195
L 1-2 at Young Boys-250
Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Young Boys-265
W 4-1 at Young Boys+110
L 1-2 at Manchester United+565
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+125+180+180+194+173+180+194+202.5
Villarreal+200+150+160+154+154+160+160+158.6
Draw+230+240+240+244+233+240+244+253.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+145-+186-+125+185+186+202.5
Villarreal+185-+150-+165+150+165+158.6
Draw+245-+236-+225+235+236+253.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Villarreal: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +185 to +175
Villarreal ML moved from +167 to +161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +185 to +175
Villarreal ML moved from +162 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-122o2½-125o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-111
Underu2¾-115u2½+102u2½+105u2½+105-u2½+105u2½+105u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-115o2½-120-o2½-130o2½-125o2½-115o2½-111
Underu2½+110u2½-105u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+105u2½+105u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 021.83%
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 312.82%
Exactly 44.88%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 032.76%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 049.43%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 212.27%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 059.65%
Exactly 130.82%
Exactly 27.96%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals23.36%
Wins by 3+ goals9.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals10.77%
Wins by 3+ goals3.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal23.14%
Wins by 2 goals14.08%
Wins by 3 goals6.31%
Wins by 4 goals2.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal16.97%
Wins by 2 goals7.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.98%26.02%
2.549.10%50.90%
3.527.22%72.78%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.17%21.83%
1.544.94%55.06%
2.519.66%80.34%
3.56.84%93.16%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.24%32.76%
1.530.69%69.31%
2.510.28%89.72%
3.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.52%29.48%
1.534.51%65.49%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Villarreal
Score012345
0
7.15%
7.98%
4.45%
1.66%
0.46%
0.10%
1
10.88%
12.15%
6.78%
2.52%
0.70%
0.16%
2
8.28%
9.24%
5.16%
1.92%
0.54%
0.12%
3
4.20%
4.69%
2.62%
0.97%
0.27%
0.06%
4
1.60%
1.78%
1.00%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.49%
0.54%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-010.88%
2-08.28%
2-19.24%
3-04.20%
3-14.69%
3-22.62%
4-01.60%
4-11.78%
4-21.00%
4-30.37%
5-00.49%
5-10.54%
5-20.30%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.15%
1-112.15%
2-25.16%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Villarreal
0-17.98%
0-24.45%
1-26.78%
0-31.66%
1-32.52%
2-31.92%
0-40.46%
1-40.70%
2-40.54%
3-40.27%
0-50.10%
1-50.16%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Villarreal
Score0123
0
29.48%
15.24%
3.94%
0.68%
1
20.77%
10.73%
2.77%
0.48%
2
7.32%
3.78%
0.98%
0.17%
3
1.72%
0.89%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.30%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-020.77%
2-07.32%
2-13.78%
3-01.72%
3-10.89%
3-20.23%
4-00.30%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-029.48%
1-110.73%
2-20.98%
Villarreal
0-115.24%
0-23.94%
1-22.77%
0-30.68%
1-30.48%
2-30.17%