Manchester City at RB Leipzig

Updated

Manchester City

62.7%20.4%16.9%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.08Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 1

RB Leipzig

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Sevilla-335
T 0-0 at Dortmund-155
T 0-0 at FC Copenhagen-900
W 0-5 vs FC Copenhagen-2500
W 1-2 vs Dortmund-510
RB Leipzig
Money Line
W 4-0 at Shakhtar-130
W 2-3 vs Real Madrid+135
W 2-0 at Celtic+100
W 1-3 vs Celtic-210
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-145-107-110-107+101-107+101+100.2
RB Leipzig+375+310+300+310+308+310+310+324.3
Draw+305+259+260+265+256+265+265+277.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-130--110--150-120-110+100.2
RB Leipzig+345-+315-+310+335+335+324.3
Draw+285-+254-+250+260+260+277.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 10.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -101
RB Leipzig ML moved from +315 to +300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -110 to -120
RB Leipzig ML moved from +324 to +315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106o2½-110o2½-108o2½-108o2½-114o2½-108o2½-108o2½+102
Underu3-114u2½-108u2½-112u2½-112u2½-101u2½-112u2½-101u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-115o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2½+102
Underu3-120u2½-105u2½+100-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-114 to u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+120 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%
 
No45.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.75%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 417.06%
Exactly 65.28%
Exactly 80.88%
 
Exactly 114.47%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.40%
Exactly 72.30%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.57%
Exactly 126.06%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.69%
Exactly 49.69%
Exactly 54.02%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - RB Leipzig
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.39%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 51.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 038.28%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RB Leipzig
Exactly 063.71%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals38.95%
Wins by 3+ goals19.88%
Wins by 4+ goals8.45%
Wins by 5+ goals3.04%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 2+ goals5.66%
Wins by 3+ goals1.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
RB Leipzig
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.75%
Wins by 2 goals19.07%
Wins by 3 goals11.43%
Wins by 4 goals5.41%
Wins by 5 goals2.11%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 1 goal11.15%
Wins by 2 goals4.20%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.25%4.75%
1.580.79%19.21%
2.558.74%41.26%
3.536.35%63.65%
4.519.28%80.72%
5.58.88%91.12%
6.53.60%96.40%
7.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.43%12.57%
1.561.37%38.63%
2.534.34%65.66%
3.515.65%84.35%
4.55.96%94.04%
5.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals RB Leipzig Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.23%37.77%
1.525.46%74.54%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.61%24.39%
1.541.20%58.80%
2.516.92%83.08%
3.55.50%94.50%
4.51.47%98.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
RB Leipzig
Score01234
0
4.75%
4.62%
2.25%
0.73%
0.18%
1
9.84%
9.59%
4.67%
1.51%
0.37%
2
10.21%
9.94%
4.84%
1.57%
0.38%
3
7.06%
6.87%
3.35%
1.09%
0.26%
4
3.66%
3.56%
1.74%
0.56%
0.14%
5
1.52%
1.48%
0.72%
0.23%
0.06%
Manchester City
1-09.84%
2-010.21%
2-19.94%
3-07.06%
3-16.87%
3-23.35%
4-03.66%
4-13.56%
4-21.74%
4-30.56%
5-01.52%
5-11.48%
5-20.72%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-04.75%
1-19.59%
2-24.84%
3-31.09%
4-40.14%
RB Leipzig
0-14.62%
0-22.25%
1-24.67%
0-30.73%
1-31.51%
2-31.57%
0-40.18%
1-40.37%
2-40.38%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
RB Leipzig
Score0123
0
24.39%
10.99%
2.48%
0.37%
1
23.42%
10.56%
2.38%
0.36%
2
11.24%
5.07%
1.14%
0.17%
3
3.60%
1.62%
0.37%
0.05%
4
0.86%
0.39%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-023.42%
2-011.24%
2-15.07%
3-03.60%
3-11.62%
3-20.37%
4-00.86%
4-10.39%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-024.39%
1-110.56%
2-21.14%
RB Leipzig
0-110.99%
0-22.48%
1-22.38%
0-30.37%
1-30.36%
2-30.17%