Dortmund at Manchester City

Updated

Dortmund

7.9%13.0%79.1%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.84
1Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-3 vs FC Copenhagen-325
W 0-5 vs Besiktas-450
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+220
L 3-1 vs Ajax+195
L 0-4 at Ajax+210
Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-0 at Sevilla-325
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+110
W 3-4 vs Real Madrid-205
T 0-0 at Atletico Madrid-132
W 0-1 vs Atletico Madrid-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+1000-+1100+1250+1293+1250+1293+1227.5
Manchester City-400--500-475-618-475-475-393.4
Draw+525-+600+640+684+640+684+685.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+1150-+1250--+1200+1250+1227.5
Manchester City-525--510---530-510-393.4
Draw+660-+630--+650+650+685.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Manchester City ML moved from -480 to -500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Manchester City ML moved from -490 to -530

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102-o3¾-102o3¾-102-o3¾-102o3¾-102o3½-112
Underu3½-122-u3¾-118u3¾-118-u3¾-118u3¾-118u3½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-120o3½-120-o3½-130o3½-120o3½-120o3½-112
Underu3½+100u3½+100u3½+100-u3½+100u3½+100u3½+100u3½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.60%
Exactly 217.32%
Exactly 419.22%
Exactly 68.53%
Exactly 82.03%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.50%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 514.02%
Exactly 74.45%
Exactly 90.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 044.48%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.59%
Exactly 33.94%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.85%
Exactly 116.61%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 415.83%
Exactly 58.99%
Exactly 64.25%
Exactly 71.72%
Exactly 80.61%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.46%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 60.60%
 
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 314.84%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 068.73%
Exactly 125.78%
Exactly 24.83%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 026.87%
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 310.17%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals2.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.47%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals59.17%
Wins by 3+ goals37.95%
Wins by 4+ goals20.83%
Wins by 5+ goals9.86%
Wins by 6+ goals4.05%
Wins by 7+ goals1.44%
Wins by 8+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal5.66%
Wins by 2 goals1.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal19.84%
Wins by 2 goals21.22%
Wins by 3 goals17.12%
Wins by 4 goals10.97%
Wins by 5 goals5.81%
Wins by 6 goals2.61%
Wins by 7 goals1.02%
Wins by 8 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.40%2.60%
1.587.90%12.10%
2.570.58%29.42%
3.549.51%50.49%
4.530.29%69.71%
5.516.26%83.74%
6.57.74%92.26%
7.53.29%96.71%
8.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.52%44.48%
1.519.48%80.52%
2.54.89%95.11%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.15%5.85%
1.577.54%22.46%
2.553.97%46.03%
3.531.67%68.33%
4.515.84%84.16%
5.56.85%93.15%
6.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.54%18.46%
1.550.34%49.66%
2.524.00%76.00%
3.59.16%90.84%
4.52.89%97.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.60%
7.39%
10.49%
9.92%
7.04%
4.00%
1
2.11%
5.98%
8.49%
8.04%
5.70%
3.24%
2
0.85%
2.42%
3.44%
3.26%
2.31%
1.31%
3
0.23%
0.65%
0.93%
0.88%
0.62%
0.35%
Dortmund
1-02.11%
2-00.85%
2-12.42%
3-00.23%
3-10.65%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-02.60%
1-15.98%
2-23.44%
3-30.88%
4-40.13%
Manchester City
0-17.39%
0-210.49%
1-28.49%
0-39.92%
1-38.04%
2-33.26%
0-47.04%
1-45.70%
2-42.31%
3-40.62%
0-54.00%
1-53.24%
2-51.31%
3-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
18.46%
24.27%
15.95%
6.99%
2.30%
0.60%
0.13%
1
6.93%
9.10%
5.98%
2.62%
0.86%
0.23%
0.05%
2
1.30%
1.71%
1.12%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.21%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-06.93%
2-01.30%
2-11.71%
3-00.16%
3-10.21%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-018.46%
1-19.10%
2-21.12%
Manchester City
0-124.27%
0-215.95%
1-25.98%
0-36.99%
1-32.62%
2-30.49%
0-42.30%
1-40.86%
2-40.16%
0-50.60%
1-50.23%
0-60.13%