Dortmund at Sevilla

Updated

Dortmund

36.0%27.4%36.5%
Dortmund WinDrawSevilla Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.22
4Final Score 1

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
L 1-2 at Manchester City+1250
W 0-3 vs FC Copenhagen-325
W 0-5 vs Besiktas-450
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+220
L 3-1 vs Ajax+195
Sevilla
Money Line
T 0-0 at FC Copenhagen+129
L 4-0 vs Manchester City+900
L 0-1 at RB Salzburg+162
W 0-2 vs Wolfsburg-130
L 2-1 vs Lille-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+140-+125+128+123+128+128+135.7
Sevilla+185-+210+218+203+218+218+234.6
Draw+235-+235+255+256+255+256+261.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+145-+127-+100+130+130+135.7
Sevilla+175-+210-+210+210+210+234.6
Draw+260-+246-+225+240+246+261.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Sevilla: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +145 to +125
Sevilla ML moved from +224 to +218

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Sevilla: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +115 to +105
Sevilla ML moved from +220 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102-o2½-118o2½-119-o2½-119o2½-118o2½-103
Underu2¾-118-u2½-102u2½-101-u2½-101u2½-101u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-120o2½-118-o2½-130o2½-125o2½-118o2½-103
Underu2½+105u2½+100u2½-102-u2½+100u2½+105u2½+105u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.78%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.81%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.36%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.42%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 057.07%
Exactly 132.01%
Exactly 28.98%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 056.81%
Exactly 132.12%
Exactly 29.08%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals15.31%
Wins by 3+ goals5.04%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals15.62%
Wins by 3+ goals5.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal20.70%
Wins by 2 goals10.27%
Wins by 3 goals3.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal20.87%
Wins by 2 goals10.44%
Wins by 3 goals3.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.22%8.78%
1.569.86%30.14%
2.543.88%56.12%
3.522.81%77.19%
4.510.00%90.00%
5.53.77%96.23%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.15%65.85%
2.512.30%87.70%
3.53.48%96.52%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.52%29.48%
1.534.51%65.49%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.56%96.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.58%32.42%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Sevilla
Score012345
0
8.78%
10.72%
6.55%
2.67%
0.81%
0.20%
1
10.64%
12.99%
7.93%
3.23%
0.99%
0.24%
2
6.44%
7.87%
4.80%
1.96%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.60%
3.18%
1.94%
0.79%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.79%
0.96%
0.59%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.19%
0.23%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-010.64%
2-06.44%
2-17.87%
3-02.60%
3-13.18%
3-21.94%
4-00.79%
4-10.96%
4-20.59%
4-30.24%
5-00.19%
5-10.23%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-08.78%
1-112.99%
2-24.80%
3-30.79%
Sevilla
0-110.72%
0-26.55%
1-27.93%
0-32.67%
1-33.23%
2-31.96%
0-40.81%
1-40.99%
2-40.60%
3-40.24%
0-50.20%
1-50.24%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Sevilla
Score01234
0
32.42%
18.33%
5.18%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.18%
10.28%
2.91%
0.55%
0.08%
2
5.10%
2.88%
0.82%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.95%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-018.18%
2-05.10%
2-12.88%
3-00.95%
3-10.54%
3-20.15%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-032.42%
1-110.28%
2-20.82%
Sevilla
0-118.33%
0-25.18%
1-22.91%
0-30.98%
1-30.55%
2-30.15%
0-40.14%