Milan at Inter

Updated

Milan

18.2%22.0%59.8%
WinDrawInter Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.89
0Final Score 1

Inter

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Inter+235
T 1-1 at Napoli+350
W 0-1 vs Napoli+172
T 0-0 at Tottenham+360
W 0-1 vs Tottenham+145
Inter
Money Line
W 2-0 at Milan+135
T 3-3 vs Benfica+110
W 2-0 at Benfica+230
T 0-0 at Porto+150
W 0-1 vs Porto-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+293+219+210+223+218+223+223+234.2
Inter-103+135+135+133+144+133+144+141.1
Draw+246+232+230+238+232+238+238+249.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+275-+204-+220+210+220+234.2
Inter-105-+137-+115+135+137+141.1
Draw+235-+238-+240+230+240+249.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +225 to +219
No Steam Moves On Inter ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Inter ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-117o2½+111o2¼-118o2½+113o2½+115o2½+113o2¼-118o2½+122
Underu2¼-103u2½-131u2¼-102u2½-133u2½-130u2½-133u2½-130u2½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+110o2½+113-o2½+100o2½+115o2½+115o2½+122
Underu2½-140u2½-130u2½-133-u2½-130u2½-135u2½-130u2½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.88%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 415.79%
Exactly 64.23%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.66%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.95%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 039.10%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Inter
Exactly 015.04%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.04%
Exactly 48.07%
Exactly 53.06%
Exactly 60.97%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.93%
Exactly 223.18%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 064.74%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Inter
Exactly 041.60%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.00%
Exactly 34.68%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals6.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Inter
Wins by 2+ goals35.23%
Wins by 3+ goals16.84%
Wins by 4+ goals6.63%
Wins by 5+ goals2.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Inter
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal12.12%
Wins by 2 goals4.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Inter
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals18.38%
Wins by 3 goals10.21%
Wins by 4 goals4.46%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.12%5.88%
1.577.46%22.54%
2.553.85%46.15%
3.531.55%68.45%
4.515.76%84.24%
5.56.81%93.19%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.90%39.10%
1.524.18%75.82%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Inter Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.96%15.04%
1.556.47%43.53%
2.529.48%70.52%
3.512.44%87.56%
4.54.36%95.64%
5.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.07%26.93%
1.537.74%62.26%
2.514.56%85.44%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Inter
Score012345
0
5.88%
11.14%
10.55%
6.67%
3.16%
1.20%
1
5.52%
10.46%
9.91%
6.26%
2.96%
1.12%
2
2.59%
4.91%
4.65%
2.94%
1.39%
0.53%
3
0.81%
1.54%
1.46%
0.92%
0.44%
0.17%
4
0.19%
0.36%
0.34%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Milan
1-05.52%
2-02.59%
2-14.91%
3-00.81%
3-11.54%
3-21.46%
4-00.19%
4-10.36%
4-20.34%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-05.88%
1-110.46%
2-24.65%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Inter
0-111.14%
0-210.55%
1-29.91%
0-36.67%
1-36.26%
2-32.94%
0-43.16%
1-42.96%
2-41.39%
3-40.44%
0-51.20%
1-51.12%
2-50.53%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Inter
Score012345
0
26.93%
23.62%
10.36%
3.03%
0.66%
0.12%
1
11.71%
10.27%
4.50%
1.32%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.54%
2.23%
0.98%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.37%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-011.71%
2-02.54%
2-12.23%
3-00.37%
3-10.32%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-026.93%
1-110.27%
2-20.98%
Inter
0-123.62%
0-210.36%
1-24.50%
0-33.03%
1-31.32%
2-30.29%
0-40.66%
1-40.29%
0-50.12%