Milan at RB Salzburg

Updated

Milan

32.8%25.0%42.1%
Milan WinDrawRB Salzburg Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 1

RB Salzburg

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+130
W 1-0 at Atletico Madrid+467
T 1-1 vs Porto-103
L 0-1 at Porto+235
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+170
RB Salzburg
Money Line
L 1-7 at Bayern Munich+1500
T 1-1 vs Bayern Munich+690
W 0-1 vs Sevilla+200
L 0-1 at Lille+175
L 1-2 at Wolfsburg+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+115--105-107-109-107-105+104.4
RB Salzburg+235-+280+310+286+310+310+309.8
Draw+235-+265+265+256+265+265+275.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+115-+100--135-105+100+104.4
RB Salzburg+230-+230-+280+280+280+309.8
Draw+255-+301-+240+265+301+275.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
RB Salzburg: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
RB Salzburg: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
RB Salzburg: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +100 to -107
RB Salzburg ML moved from +251 to +240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Salzburg: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
RB Salzburg: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
RB Salzburg: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -125 to -135
RB Salzburg ML moved from +250 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2½-115o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½+101
Underu2¾-115-u2½-105u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-105u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-120o2½-114-o2½-125o2½-115o2½-114o2½+101
Underu2½+100u2½+100u2½-106-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.99%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 415.68%
Exactly 64.14%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.86%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 58.83%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 027.14%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.03%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - RB Salzburg
Exactly 022.07%
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 225.19%
Exactly 312.69%
Exactly 44.79%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.16%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 310.02%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 054.67%
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 29.97%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RB Salzburg
Exactly 049.68%
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 212.16%
Exactly 32.84%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals14.27%
Wins by 3+ goals4.89%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
RB Salzburg
Wins by 2+ goals20.62%
Wins by 3+ goals8.03%
Wins by 4+ goals2.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
RB Salzburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal18.49%
Wins by 2 goals9.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
RB Salzburg
Wins by 1 goal21.43%
Wins by 2 goals12.59%
Wins by 3 goals5.51%
Wins by 4 goals1.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.01%5.99%
1.577.15%22.85%
2.553.42%46.58%
3.531.15%68.85%
4.515.47%84.53%
5.56.65%93.35%
6.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.86%27.14%
1.537.47%62.53%
2.514.39%85.61%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals RB Salzburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.93%22.07%
1.544.59%55.41%
2.519.39%80.61%
3.56.70%93.30%
4.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.84%27.16%
1.537.44%62.56%
2.514.37%85.63%
3.54.34%95.66%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
RB Salzburg
Score012345
0
5.99%
9.05%
6.84%
3.44%
1.30%
0.39%
1
7.81%
11.80%
8.92%
4.49%
1.70%
0.51%
2
5.09%
7.70%
5.82%
2.93%
1.11%
0.33%
3
2.21%
3.35%
2.53%
1.27%
0.48%
0.15%
4
0.72%
1.09%
0.82%
0.42%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.19%
0.28%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Milan
1-07.81%
2-05.09%
2-17.70%
3-02.21%
3-13.35%
3-22.53%
4-00.72%
4-11.09%
4-20.82%
4-30.42%
5-00.19%
5-10.28%
5-20.22%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-05.99%
1-111.80%
2-25.82%
3-31.27%
4-40.16%
RB Salzburg
0-19.05%
0-26.84%
1-28.92%
0-33.44%
1-34.49%
2-32.93%
0-41.30%
1-41.70%
2-41.11%
3-40.48%
0-50.39%
1-50.51%
2-50.33%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
RB Salzburg
Score01234
0
27.16%
19.00%
6.65%
1.55%
0.27%
1
16.40%
11.47%
4.01%
0.94%
0.16%
2
4.95%
3.46%
1.21%
0.28%
0.05%
3
1.00%
0.70%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-016.40%
2-04.95%
2-13.46%
3-01.00%
3-10.70%
3-20.24%
4-00.15%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-027.16%
1-111.47%
2-21.21%
RB Salzburg
0-119.00%
0-26.65%
1-24.01%
0-31.55%
1-30.94%
2-30.28%
0-40.27%
1-40.16%