Milan at Porto

Updated

Milan

35.9%28.0%36.1%
Milan WinDrawPorto Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.18
0Final Score 1

Porto

Last Games

Milan
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+170
L 2-3 at Liverpool+575
Porto
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Liverpool+350
T 0-0 at Atletico Madrid+530
W 1-0 at Chelsea+375
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+440
L 2-3 at Juventus+550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+150+225+235+232+221+235+235+239.5
Porto+170+125+125+125+121+125+125+130.1
Draw+260+245+245+261+239+245+261+269.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+180-+216-+160+235+235+239.5
Porto+150-+122-+135+120+135+130.1
Draw+240-+250-+215+240+250+269.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +245 to +235
Porto ML moved from +122 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +232 to +216
Porto ML moved from +122 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¾+100o2½-125o2¾+106-o2½-125o2½-125o2¾+110
Underu2½-105u2¾-120u2½+105u2¾-116-u2½+105u2¾-116u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-127-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-115o2¾+110
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½+107-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+107u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.53%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 412.12%
Exactly 62.23%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.40%
Exactly 320.63%
Exactly 55.70%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 030.96%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 030.78%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.68%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 058.11%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 057.95%
Exactly 131.62%
Exactly 28.62%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals14.94%
Wins by 3+ goals4.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals15.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.89%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Porto
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal20.89%
Wins by 2 goals10.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.99%
Wins by 2 goals10.24%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.47%9.53%
1.568.07%31.93%
2.541.74%58.26%
3.521.10%78.90%
4.58.98%91.02%
5.53.28%96.72%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.04%30.96%
1.532.74%67.26%
2.511.46%88.54%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.22%30.78%
1.532.95%67.05%
2.511.58%88.42%
3.53.19%96.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.32%33.68%
1.529.67%70.33%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Porto
Score012345
0
9.53%
11.23%
6.62%
2.60%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.17%
13.17%
7.76%
3.05%
0.90%
0.21%
2
6.55%
7.72%
4.55%
1.79%
0.53%
0.12%
3
2.56%
3.02%
1.78%
0.70%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.75%
0.88%
0.52%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-011.17%
2-06.55%
2-17.72%
3-02.56%
3-13.02%
3-21.78%
4-00.75%
4-10.88%
4-20.52%
4-30.20%
5-00.18%
5-10.21%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.53%
1-113.17%
2-24.55%
3-30.70%
Porto
0-111.23%
0-26.62%
1-27.76%
0-32.60%
1-33.05%
2-31.79%
0-40.77%
1-40.90%
2-40.53%
3-40.21%
0-50.18%
1-50.21%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Porto
Score01234
0
33.68%
18.37%
5.01%
0.91%
0.12%
1
18.28%
9.97%
2.72%
0.49%
0.07%
2
4.96%
2.71%
0.74%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.90%
0.49%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Milan
1-018.28%
2-04.96%
2-12.71%
3-00.90%
3-10.49%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.68%
1-19.97%
2-20.74%
Porto
0-118.37%
0-25.01%
1-22.72%
0-30.91%
1-30.49%
2-30.13%
0-40.12%