Benfica at Midtjylland

Updated

Benfica

46.4%26.2%27.4%
Benfica WinDrawMidtjylland Win
1.47Projected Goals 1.06
3Final Score 1

Midtjylland

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Midtjylland-350
T 3-3 at Liverpool+675
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+730
W 1-0 at Ajax+800
T 2-2 vs Ajax+390
Midtjylland
Money Line
L 1-4 at Benfica+950
L 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+300
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+900
W 1-2 vs Celtic
T 1-1 at Celtic

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-140--135-130-134-128-128-116.0
Midtjylland+340-+310+315+310+310+310+328.3
Draw+300-+320+335+310+335+335+335.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-140----165-135-135-116.0
Midtjylland+360---+330+310+330+328.3
Draw+300---+270+330+330+335.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -118 to -130
Midtjylland ML moved from +310 to +285

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -125 to -135
Midtjylland ML moved from +320 to +310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o3¼-108o3-117-o3-117o3-117o3-107
Underu2¾-115-u3¼-122u3-103-u3-103u3¼-122u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145---o3-120o3-115o3-115o3-107
Underu2½+125---u3-110u3-105u3-105u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.00%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 413.57%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.21%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 56.85%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 023.12%
Exactly 133.86%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 312.10%
Exactly 44.43%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 034.60%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.49%
Exactly 36.89%
Exactly 41.83%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.06%
Exactly 221.23%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 050.76%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 211.67%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 061.18%
Exactly 130.06%
Exactly 27.39%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals22.82%
Wins by 3+ goals8.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals10.29%
Wins by 3+ goals2.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Midtjylland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals13.98%
Wins by 3 goals6.09%
Wins by 4 goals2.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal17.03%
Wins by 2 goals7.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.00%8.00%
1.571.79%28.21%
2.546.28%53.72%
3.524.79%75.21%
4.511.23%88.77%
5.54.38%95.62%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.88%23.12%
1.543.02%56.98%
2.518.23%81.77%
3.56.13%93.87%
4.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.40%34.60%
1.528.68%71.32%
2.59.19%90.81%
3.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.94%31.06%
1.532.63%67.37%
2.511.39%88.61%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Midtjylland
Score01234
0
8.00%
8.49%
4.50%
1.59%
0.42%
1
11.72%
12.43%
6.60%
2.33%
0.62%
2
8.58%
9.10%
4.83%
1.71%
0.45%
3
4.19%
4.44%
2.36%
0.83%
0.22%
4
1.53%
1.63%
0.86%
0.31%
0.08%
5
0.45%
0.48%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
Benfica
1-011.72%
2-08.58%
2-19.10%
3-04.19%
3-14.44%
3-22.36%
4-01.53%
4-11.63%
4-20.86%
4-30.31%
5-00.45%
5-10.48%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-08.00%
1-112.43%
2-24.83%
3-30.83%
Midtjylland
0-18.49%
0-24.50%
1-26.60%
0-31.59%
1-32.33%
2-31.71%
0-40.42%
1-40.62%
2-40.45%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Midtjylland
Score0123
0
31.06%
15.26%
3.75%
0.61%
1
21.06%
10.35%
2.54%
0.42%
2
7.14%
3.51%
0.86%
0.14%
3
1.61%
0.79%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.27%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Benfica
1-021.06%
2-07.14%
2-13.51%
3-01.61%
3-10.79%
3-20.19%
4-00.27%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.06%
1-110.35%
2-20.86%
Midtjylland
0-115.26%
0-23.75%
1-22.54%
0-30.61%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%