Benfica at Liverpool

Updated

Benfica

4.5%10.0%85.6%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.60Projected Goals 3.07
3Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+730
W 1-0 at Ajax+800
T 2-2 vs Ajax+390
W 0-2 vs Dynamo Kyiv-290
T 0-0 at Barcelona+450
Liverpool
Money Line
W 3-1 at Benfica-255
L 1-0 vs Inter-180
W 2-0 at Inter+115
W 2-1 at Milan+200
W 0-2 vs Porto-136

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+700+600+745+706+644+745+745+719.6
Liverpool-305-250-265-241-276-265-241-221.8
Draw+450+420+420+418+422+420+422+429.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+900-+670--+675+675+719.6
Liverpool-350--255---260-255-221.8
Draw+475-+403--+400+403+429.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Liverpool: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +600 to +575
Liverpool ML moved from -231 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Liverpool: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +685 to +670
Liverpool ML moved from -344 to -352

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3¼+102o3¼+106o3½+131-o3¼+106o3¼+106o3½+133
Underu3½-122u3¼-122u3¼-122u3½-146-u3¼-122u3½-146u3½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+125o3½+128-o3½+120o3½+130o3½+130o3½+133
Underu3½-120u3½-145u3½-148-u3½-150u3½-150u3½-145u3½-133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-116 to u3¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-125 to u3½-150

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.54%
Exactly 217.13%
Exactly 419.26%
Exactly 68.67%
Exactly 82.09%
Exactly 100.31%
 
Exactly 19.32%
Exactly 320.97%
Exactly 514.16%
Exactly 74.55%
Exactly 90.85%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 054.56%
Exactly 133.06%
Exactly 210.01%
Exactly 32.02%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 04.65%
Exactly 114.27%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 510.54%
Exactly 65.39%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 80.91%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.25%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 46.37%
Exactly 60.61%
 
Exactly 131.04%
Exactly 314.97%
Exactly 52.17%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 075.54%
Exactly 121.19%
Exactly 22.97%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 024.16%
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.54%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals67.79%
Wins by 3+ goals46.49%
Wins by 4+ goals27.43%
Wins by 5+ goals13.99%
Wins by 6+ goals6.20%
Wins by 7+ goals2.38%
Wins by 8+ goals0.76%
Wins by 9+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal3.48%
Wins by 2 goals0.82%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal17.64%
Wins by 2 goals21.29%
Wins by 3 goals19.06%
Wins by 4 goals13.44%
Wins by 5 goals7.79%
Wins by 6 goals3.82%
Wins by 7 goals1.62%
Wins by 8 goals0.60%
Wins by 9 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.46%2.54%
1.588.14%11.86%
2.571.01%28.99%
3.550.04%49.96%
4.530.78%69.22%
5.516.62%83.38%
6.57.95%92.05%
7.53.40%96.60%
8.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.44%54.56%
1.512.38%87.62%
2.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.35%4.65%
1.581.08%18.92%
2.559.19%40.81%
3.536.80%63.20%
4.519.63%80.37%
5.59.09%90.91%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.75%18.25%
1.550.71%49.29%
2.524.31%75.69%
3.59.33%90.67%
4.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.54%
7.79%
11.94%
12.21%
9.37%
5.75%
1
1.54%
4.72%
7.24%
7.40%
5.68%
3.48%
2
0.47%
1.43%
2.19%
2.24%
1.72%
1.06%
Benfica
1-01.54%
2-00.47%
2-11.43%
Draw
0-02.54%
1-14.72%
2-22.19%
3-30.45%
Liverpool
0-17.79%
0-211.94%
1-27.24%
0-312.21%
1-37.40%
2-32.24%
0-49.37%
1-45.68%
2-41.72%
3-40.35%
0-55.75%
1-53.48%
2-51.06%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
18.25%
25.92%
18.41%
8.72%
3.10%
0.88%
0.21%
1
5.12%
7.27%
5.16%
2.45%
0.87%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.72%
1.02%
0.72%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Benfica
1-05.12%
2-00.72%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-018.25%
1-17.27%
2-20.72%
Liverpool
0-125.92%
0-218.41%
1-25.16%
0-38.72%
1-32.45%
2-30.34%
0-43.10%
1-40.87%
2-40.12%
0-50.88%
1-50.25%
0-60.21%