## Sao Paulo

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Nacional

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.1%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**11.2%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Sao Paulo | +151 | - | +190 | +185 | +185 | +185 | +190 | +199.0 |

Nacional | +205 | - | +175 | +190 | +190 | +190 | +190 | +204.2 |

Draw | +191 | - | +170 | +183 | +183 | +183 | +183 | +196.9 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Sao Paulo | +130 | - | - | - | +160 | - | +160 | +199.0 |

Nacional | +200 | - | - | - | +165 | - | +165 | +204.2 |

Draw | +180 | - | - | - | +175 | - | +175 | +196.9 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.3%**

#### Implied Margin

**6.1%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2-121 | - | o1¾-118 | o1¾-123 | o1¾-123 | o1¾-123 | o1¾-118 | o1¾-112 |

Under | u2+101 | - | u1¾-112 | u1¾+103 | u1¾+103 | u1¾+103 | u1¾+103 | u1¾+112 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2-125 | - | - | - | o2+100 | - | o2+100 | o1¾-112 |

Under | u2-105 | - | - | - | u2-130 | - | u2-130 | u1¾+112 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 45.6% |

No | 54.4% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 10.18% |

Exactly 2 | 26.57% |

Exactly 4 | 11.56% |

Exactly 6 | 2.01% |

Exactly 8 | 0.19% |

Exactly 1 | 23.26% |

Exactly 3 | 20.24% |

Exactly 5 | 5.28% |

Exactly 7 | 0.66% |

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 27.25% |

Exactly 1 | 35.43% |

Exactly 2 | 23.03% |

Exactly 3 | 9.98% |

Exactly 4 | 3.24% |

Exactly 5 | 0.84% |

Exactly 6 | 0.18% |

Exact Goals Scored - Nacional | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 37.35% |

Exactly 1 | 36.78% |

Exactly 2 | 18.11% |

Exactly 3 | 5.95% |

Exactly 4 | 1.46% |

Exactly 5 | 0.29% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 34.72% |

Exactly 2 | 19.43% |

Exactly 4 | 1.81% |

Exactly 1 | 36.73% |

Exactly 3 | 6.85% |

Exactly 5 | 0.38% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 54.77% |

Exactly 1 | 32.97% |

Exactly 2 | 9.92% |

Exactly 3 | 1.99% |

Exactly 4 | 0.30% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 63.38% |

Exactly 1 | 28.90% |

Exactly 2 | 6.59% |

Exactly 3 | 1.00% |

Exactly 4 | 0.11% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 20.00% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 7.09% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 2.01% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 0.45% |

Nacional | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 10.19% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 2.79% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.58% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Sao Paulo

##### Nacional

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 23.72% |

Wins by 2 goals | 12.91% |

Wins by 3 goals | 5.08% |

Wins by 4 goals | 1.55% |

Wins by 5 goals | 0.38% |

Nacional | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 17.97% |

Wins by 2 goals | 7.41% |

Wins by 3 goals | 2.21% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.50% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 89.82% | 10.18% |

1.5 | 66.57% | 33.43% |

2.5 | 40.00% | 60.00% |

3.5 | 19.76% | 80.24% |

4.5 | 8.20% | 91.80% |

5.5 | 2.92% | 97.08% |

#### Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 72.75% | 27.25% |

1.5 | 37.32% | 62.68% |

2.5 | 14.29% | 85.71% |

3.5 | 4.31% | 95.69% |

4.5 | 1.07% | 98.93% |

#### Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 62.65% | 37.35% |

1.5 | 25.87% | 74.13% |

2.5 | 7.75% | 92.25% |

3.5 | 1.81% | 98.19% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 65.28% | 34.72% |

1.5 | 28.55% | 71.45% |

2.5 | 9.13% | 90.87% |

3.5 | 2.27% | 97.73% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 10.18% | 10.02% | 4.94% | 1.62% | 0.40% |

1 | 13.23% | 13.03% | 6.42% | 2.11% | 0.52% |

2 | 8.60% | 8.47% | 4.17% | 1.37% | 0.34% |

3 | 3.73% | 3.67% | 1.81% | 0.59% | 0.15% |

4 | 1.21% | 1.19% | 0.59% | 0.19% | 0.05% |

5 | 0.32% | 0.31% | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.01% |

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

1-0 | 13.23% |

2-0 | 8.60% |

2-1 | 8.47% |

3-0 | 3.73% |

3-1 | 3.67% |

3-2 | 1.81% |

4-0 | 1.21% |

4-1 | 1.19% |

4-2 | 0.59% |

4-3 | 0.19% |

5-0 | 0.32% |

5-1 | 0.31% |

5-2 | 0.15% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 10.18% |

1-1 | 13.03% |

2-2 | 4.17% |

3-3 | 0.59% |

Nacional | |
---|---|

0-1 | 10.02% |

0-2 | 4.94% |

1-2 | 6.42% |

0-3 | 1.62% |

1-3 | 2.11% |

2-3 | 1.37% |

0-4 | 0.40% |

1-4 | 0.52% |

2-4 | 0.34% |

3-4 | 0.15% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 34.72% | 15.83% | 3.61% | 0.55% |

1 | 20.90% | 9.53% | 2.17% | 0.33% |

2 | 6.29% | 2.87% | 0.65% | 0.10% |

3 | 1.26% | 0.58% | 0.13% | 0.02% |

4 | 0.19% | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.00% |

Sao Paulo | |
---|---|

1-0 | 20.90% |

2-0 | 6.29% |

2-1 | 2.87% |

3-0 | 1.26% |

3-1 | 0.58% |

3-2 | 0.13% |

4-0 | 0.19% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 34.72% |

1-1 | 9.53% |

2-2 | 0.65% |

Nacional | |
---|---|

0-1 | 15.83% |

0-2 | 3.61% |

1-2 | 2.17% |

0-3 | 0.55% |

1-3 | 0.33% |