Velez Sarsf at Nacional

Updated

Velez Sarsf

52.0%26.7%21.2%
Velez Sarsf WinDrawNacional Win
1.46Projected Goals 0.82
3Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bragantino
L 2-1 vs Nacional
T 2-2 vs Bragantino
L 1-4 at Estudiantes
L 1-3 at Barcelona SC+325
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-1 at Estudiantes
W 2-1 at Velez Sarsf
T 0-0 vs Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun-125
W 0-1 vs Univ Catolica+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf+200+155+155+159+143+155+159+168.9
Nacional+145+195+190+194+194+190+195+210.8
Draw+210+195+220+224+222+220+224+226.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf-----+168.9
Nacional-----+210.8
Draw-----+226.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Velez Sarsf: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2¼+102o2¼-102o2½+126-o2¼-102o2¼+102o2¼+114
Underu2½-122u2¼-122u2¼-118u2½-146-u2¼-118u2½-146u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.33%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 023.31%
Exactly 133.95%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 312.00%
Exactly 44.37%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 043.89%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.88%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 050.95%
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 211.58%
Exactly 32.60%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 068.30%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals26.16%
Wins by 3+ goals10.27%
Wins by 4+ goals3.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals6.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Velez Sarsf
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal25.81%
Wins by 2 goals15.89%
Wins by 3 goals7.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal14.59%
Wins by 2 goals5.08%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.44%33.56%
2.539.86%60.14%
3.519.65%80.35%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.69%23.31%
1.542.74%57.26%
2.518.02%81.98%
3.56.03%93.97%
4.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.11%43.89%
1.519.97%80.03%
2.55.09%94.91%
3.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.46%71.54%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Velez Sarsf
Nacional
Score01234
0
10.23%
8.43%
3.47%
0.95%
0.20%
1
14.90%
12.27%
5.05%
1.39%
0.29%
2
10.85%
8.93%
3.68%
1.01%
0.21%
3
5.27%
4.34%
1.79%
0.49%
0.10%
4
1.92%
1.58%
0.65%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.56%
0.46%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Velez Sarsf
1-014.90%
2-010.85%
2-18.93%
3-05.27%
3-14.34%
3-21.79%
4-01.92%
4-11.58%
4-20.65%
4-30.18%
5-00.56%
5-10.46%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-010.23%
1-112.27%
2-23.68%
3-30.49%
Nacional
0-18.43%
0-23.47%
1-25.05%
0-30.95%
1-31.39%
2-31.01%
0-40.20%
1-40.29%
2-40.21%
3-40.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Velez Sarsf
Nacional
Score0123
0
34.80%
13.27%
2.53%
0.32%
1
23.46%
8.95%
1.71%
0.22%
2
7.91%
3.02%
0.57%
0.07%
3
1.78%
0.68%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.30%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Velez Sarsf
1-023.46%
2-07.91%
2-13.02%
3-01.78%
3-10.68%
3-20.13%
4-00.30%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-034.80%
1-18.95%
2-20.57%
Nacional
0-113.27%
0-22.53%
1-21.71%
0-30.32%
1-30.22%