Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bolivar
Junior
31.0%
45.2%
23.7%
+550
-230
+575
-250
0
3
-0.40503-0.38977-0.79372
Libertad
Nacional
54.9%
25.7%
19.4%
+379
-120
+345
-130
1
4
-0.62822-0.62228-1.35767
Independiente
Gremio
23.0%
57.2%
19.8%
+400
-156
+425
-155
2
1
-1.66247-1.71147-1.47124
San Lorenzo
Santos
19.9%
60.3%
19.9%
+304
+145
+185
+135
2
2
-1.17633-1.33370-1.61636
Gremio
Independiente
50.4%
27.3%
22.2%
+134
+208
+145
+200
1
2
-1.18653-1.15119-1.29755
Junior
Bolivar
39.1%
36.2%
24.7%
+415
-145
+410
-140
1
2
-0.57789-0.59101-1.01528
Nacional
Libertad
21.5%
61.9%
16.7%
+231
+132
+245
+130
0
1
-0.88714-0.88409-0.48030
Santos
San Lorenzo
53.7%
23.9%
22.4%
+202
+140
+250
+130
3
1
-1.17325-1.30519-0.62105
Guarani
Nacional
47.1%
29.9%
23.0%
+496
-184
+450
-160
0
3
-0.49248-0.53164-1.20761
Caracas
Junior
24.3%
50.1%
25.6%
+819
-292
+825
-260
1
3
-0.35268-0.37901-0.69135
U Chile
San Lorenzo
30.7%
41.0%
28.3%
+820
-500
+975
-375
0
2
-0.32626-0.29126-0.89148
Univ Catolica
Libertad
23.0%
56.5%
20.5%

+500
-175
2
2
-0.71540-0.79074
Union Espanola
Independiente
25.8%
51.7%
22.5%
+1036
-455
+1300
-450
2
6
-0.26407-0.25283-0.66060
Wanderers
Bolivar
29.6%
46.6%
23.8%
+1400
-568
+1500
-600
0
5
-0.20636-0.20577-0.76374
Nacional
Guarani
25.7%
54.5%
19.8%
+181
+159
+190
+170
2
0
-0.75141-0.50446-1.36047
Junior
Caracas
43.2%
28.3%
28.5%
+123
+257
+125
+265
2
1
-0.46104-0.43995-0.84035
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.