Independiente at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Independiente

12.6%18.2%69.2%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.25
1Final Score 3

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
L 0-1 at Tolima
T 1-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 2-2 vs Tolima
W 2-0 at Atletico Mineiro
T 1-1 at Defensa y Just+175
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 2-1 at America (MG)
T 1-1 at Independiente
T 1-1 vs America (MG)
L 2-0 vs Independiente
W 5-4 at Barcelona SC

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+650+750+885+1001+819+885+1001+925.9
Atletico Mineiro-275-305-310-311-305-310-305-257.9
Draw+400+400+420+428+414+420+428+449.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+925.9
Atletico Mineiro------257.9
Draw-----+449.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 20.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¾-112o2¾-115o2½-143-o2¾-115o2½-143o2¾-104
Underu2¼-105u2¾-108u2¾-105u2½+123-u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.51%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 417.33%
Exactly 65.55%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.98%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.74%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 042.96%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.33%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 010.50%
Exactly 123.67%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 411.29%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.82%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 311.72%
Exactly 51.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 067.63%
Exactly 126.45%
Exactly 25.17%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 035.22%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals3.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.86%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals45.74%
Wins by 3+ goals25.04%
Wins by 4+ goals11.47%
Wins by 5+ goals4.45%
Wins by 6+ goals1.47%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Atletico Mineiro
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal8.79%
Wins by 2 goals2.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals13.57%
Wins by 4 goals7.02%
Wins by 5 goals2.98%
Wins by 6 goals1.07%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.49%4.51%
1.581.51%18.49%
2.559.85%40.15%
3.537.48%62.52%
4.520.16%79.84%
5.59.42%90.58%
6.53.87%96.13%
7.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.04%42.96%
1.520.74%79.26%
2.55.41%94.59%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.50%10.50%
1.565.83%34.17%
2.539.17%60.83%
3.519.13%80.87%
4.57.84%92.16%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.18%23.82%
1.542.01%57.99%
2.517.49%82.51%
3.55.77%94.23%
4.51.57%98.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
4.51%
10.17%
11.46%
8.61%
4.85%
2.19%
1
3.81%
8.59%
9.68%
7.27%
4.10%
1.85%
2
1.61%
3.63%
4.09%
3.07%
1.73%
0.78%
3
0.45%
1.02%
1.15%
0.87%
0.49%
0.22%
Independiente
1-03.81%
2-01.61%
2-13.63%
3-00.45%
3-11.02%
3-21.15%
Draw
0-04.51%
1-18.59%
2-24.09%
3-30.87%
4-40.10%
Atletico Mineiro
0-110.17%
0-211.46%
1-29.68%
0-38.61%
1-37.27%
2-33.07%
0-44.85%
1-44.10%
2-41.73%
3-40.49%
0-52.19%
1-51.85%
2-50.78%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
23.82%
24.86%
12.97%
4.51%
1.18%
0.25%
1
9.32%
9.72%
5.07%
1.76%
0.46%
0.10%
2
1.82%
1.90%
0.99%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-09.32%
2-01.82%
2-11.90%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-023.82%
1-19.72%
2-20.99%
Atletico Mineiro
0-124.86%
0-212.97%
1-25.07%
0-34.51%
1-31.76%
2-30.35%
0-41.18%
1-40.46%
0-50.25%