## The Strongest

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Penarol

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**1.8%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

The Strongest | +875 | +740 | +775 | +775 | +775 | +775 | +775 | +819.3 |

Penarol | -325 | -247 | -305 | -285 | -285 | -285 | -247 | -238.5 |

Draw | +400 | +379 | +420 | +410 | +410 | +410 | +420 | +435.8 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

The Strongest | - | - | - | - | - | +819.3 | ||

Penarol | - | - | - | - | - | -238.5 | ||

Draw | - | - | - | - | - | +435.8 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.5%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**6.3%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2¾-112 | o2½-126 | o2½-128 | o2½-124 | o2½-124 | o2½-124 | o2½-124 | o2½-113 |

Under | u2¾-118 | u2½+107 | u2½-102 | u2½+104 | u2½+104 | u2½+104 | u2½+107 | u2½+113 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2½-140 | - | - | - | o2½-125 | - | o2½-125 | o2½-113 |

Under | u2½+110 | - | - | - | u2½-105 | - | u2½-105 | u2½+113 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 37.2% |

No | 62.8% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 14.49% |

Exactly 2 | 27.03% |

Exactly 4 | 8.40% |

Exactly 6 | 1.05% |

Exactly 1 | 27.99% |

Exactly 3 | 17.41% |

Exactly 5 | 3.25% |

Exactly 7 | 0.29% |

Exact Goals Scored - The Strongest | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 45.22% |

Exactly 1 | 35.89% |

Exactly 2 | 14.24% |

Exactly 3 | 3.77% |

Exactly 4 | 0.75% |

Exactly 5 | 0.12% |

Exact Goals Scored - Penarol | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 32.05% |

Exactly 1 | 36.47% |

Exactly 2 | 20.75% |

Exactly 3 | 7.87% |

Exactly 4 | 2.24% |

Exactly 5 | 0.51% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 40.89% |

Exactly 2 | 16.35% |

Exactly 4 | 1.09% |

Exactly 1 | 36.57% |

Exactly 3 | 4.87% |

Exactly 5 | 0.19% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - The Strongest | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 69.25% |

Exactly 1 | 25.45% |

Exactly 2 | 4.68% |

Exactly 3 | 0.57% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 59.05% |

Exactly 1 | 31.11% |

Exactly 2 | 8.19% |

Exactly 3 | 1.44% |

Exactly 4 | 0.19% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

The Strongest | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 7.93% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 1.83% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.32% |

Penarol | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 18.40% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 5.86% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 1.42% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 0.23% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### The Strongest

##### Penarol

The Strongest | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 17.54% |

Wins by 2 goals | 6.10% |

Wins by 3 goals | 1.51% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.28% |

Penarol | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 25.14% |

Wins by 2 goals | 12.54% |

Wins by 3 goals | 4.43% |

Wins by 4 goals | 1.19% |

Wins by 5 goals | 0.23% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 85.51% | 14.49% |

1.5 | 57.51% | 42.49% |

2.5 | 30.48% | 69.52% |

3.5 | 13.07% | 86.93% |

4.5 | 4.67% | 95.33% |

5.5 | 1.42% | 98.58% |

#### Total Goals The Strongest Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 54.78% | 45.22% |

1.5 | 18.89% | 81.11% |

2.5 | 4.65% | 95.35% |

#### Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 67.95% | 32.05% |

1.5 | 31.48% | 68.52% |

2.5 | 10.73% | 89.27% |

3.5 | 2.86% | 97.14% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 59.11% | 40.89% |

1.5 | 22.54% | 77.46% |

2.5 | 6.19% | 93.81% |

3.5 | 1.32% | 98.68% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 14.49% | 16.49% | 9.38% | 3.56% | 1.01% |

1 | 11.50% | 13.09% | 7.45% | 2.82% | 0.80% |

2 | 4.57% | 5.19% | 2.95% | 1.12% | 0.32% |

3 | 1.21% | 1.37% | 0.78% | 0.30% | 0.08% |

4 | 0.24% | 0.27% | 0.16% | 0.06% | 0.02% |

The Strongest | |
---|---|

1-0 | 11.50% |

2-0 | 4.57% |

2-1 | 5.19% |

3-0 | 1.21% |

3-1 | 1.37% |

3-2 | 0.78% |

4-0 | 0.24% |

4-1 | 0.27% |

4-2 | 0.16% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 14.49% |

1-1 | 13.09% |

2-2 | 2.95% |

3-3 | 0.30% |

Penarol | |
---|---|

0-1 | 16.49% |

0-2 | 9.38% |

1-2 | 7.45% |

0-3 | 3.56% |

1-3 | 2.82% |

2-3 | 1.12% |

0-4 | 1.01% |

1-4 | 0.80% |

2-4 | 0.32% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 40.89% | 21.54% | 5.67% | 1.00% | 0.13% |

1 | 15.03% | 7.92% | 2.08% | 0.37% | 0.05% |

2 | 2.76% | 1.45% | 0.38% | 0.07% | 0.01% |

3 | 0.34% | 0.18% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% |

The Strongest | |
---|---|

1-0 | 15.03% |

2-0 | 2.76% |

2-1 | 1.45% |

3-0 | 0.34% |

3-1 | 0.18% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 40.89% |

1-1 | 7.92% |

2-2 | 0.38% |

Penarol | |
---|---|

0-1 | 21.54% |

0-2 | 5.67% |

1-2 | 2.08% |

0-3 | 1.00% |

1-3 | 0.37% |

0-4 | 0.13% |