Independiente at Melgar

Updated

Independiente

39.3%27.6%33.0%
Independiente WinDrawMelgar Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.13
3Final Score 0

Melgar

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Melgar-140
W 1-4 vs Deportivo Tachira-290
W 1-0 at Deportivo Tachira+140
T 0-0 at Lanus+280
W 1-2 vs Lanus-160
Melgar
Money Line
L 0-3 at Independiente+445
W 3-1 at Internacional+750
T 0-0 vs Internacional+135
W 1-2 vs AD Cali-150
T 0-0 at AD Cali+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+235-+245+272+258+272+272+279.0
Melgar+120-+110+102+102+102+110+114.8
Draw+215-+230+250+254+250+254+269.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+260----+270+270+279.0
Melgar+120----+100+100+114.8
Draw+215----+255+255+269.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 40.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Melgar ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 50.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Melgar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Melgar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2½-102o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-102o2½+102
Underu2¼-112-u2½-118u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-135----o2½-110o2½-110o2½+102
Underu2+115----u2½-110u2½-110u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.48%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.87%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 028.32%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 39.48%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Melgar
Exactly 032.27%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.03%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 055.76%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 29.51%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Melgar
Exactly 059.24%
Exactly 131.02%
Exactly 28.12%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals17.36%
Wins by 3+ goals5.94%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Melgar
Wins by 2+ goals13.21%
Wins by 3+ goals4.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Melgar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal21.96%
Wins by 2 goals11.41%
Wins by 3 goals4.32%
Wins by 4 goals1.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Melgar
Wins by 1 goal19.69%
Wins by 2 goals9.17%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.86%9.14%
1.569.00%31.00%
2.542.84%57.16%
3.521.97%78.03%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.68%28.32%
1.535.95%64.05%
2.513.42%86.58%
3.53.94%96.06%

Total Goals Melgar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.73%32.27%
1.531.23%68.77%
2.510.59%89.41%
3.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.97%33.03%
1.530.38%69.62%
2.510.12%89.88%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Melgar
Score012345
0
9.14%
10.34%
5.84%
2.20%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.53%
13.04%
7.37%
2.78%
0.79%
0.18%
2
7.27%
8.23%
4.65%
1.75%
0.50%
0.11%
3
3.06%
3.46%
1.96%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.96%
1.09%
0.62%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.28%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-011.53%
2-07.27%
2-18.23%
3-03.06%
3-13.46%
3-21.96%
4-00.96%
4-11.09%
4-20.62%
4-30.23%
5-00.24%
5-10.28%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.14%
1-113.04%
2-24.65%
3-30.74%
Melgar
0-110.34%
0-25.84%
1-27.37%
0-32.20%
1-32.78%
2-31.75%
0-40.62%
1-40.79%
2-40.50%
3-40.21%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Melgar
Score01234
0
33.03%
17.29%
4.53%
0.79%
0.10%
1
19.29%
10.10%
2.65%
0.46%
0.06%
2
5.64%
2.95%
0.77%
0.13%
0.02%
3
1.10%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Independiente
1-019.29%
2-05.64%
2-12.95%
3-01.10%
3-10.57%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.03%
1-110.10%
2-20.77%
Melgar
0-117.29%
0-24.53%
1-22.65%
0-30.79%
1-30.46%
2-30.13%
0-40.10%