Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio 		38.6%
34.9%		26.5%
+124
+244
+120
+245
1.32
1.25		2.57
o2-145
u2¼-110
o2½+110
u2½-130
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Palermo
Cagliari		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+315
-111
+270
-125
1
2		-0.68250-0.70899-0.38397
Ascoli
Hellas Verona		12.5%
69.2%		18.2%
+473
-161
+435
-200
1
3		-0.52248-0.52552-0.36772
Parma
Bari		25.6%
48.7%		25.6%
+184
+181
+180
+135
3
0		-1.08217-1.14964-1.36160
Cittadella
Empoli		12.1%
69.4%		18.4%
+450
-148
+390
-180
2
1		-1.74434-1.71025-2.11031
Modena
Genoa		9.6%
73.8%		16.6%
+512
-172
+420
-210
3
4		-0.49215-0.51121-0.30377
Pisa
Frosinone		21.8%
53.6%		24.6%
+253
+118
+265
-120
0
1		-0.81903-0.72579-0.62338
Inter
Fiorentina		49.5%
25.4%		25.1%
+102
+322
-105
+300
2
1		-0.72807-0.71742-0.70318
Cremonese
Fiorentina		10.2%
72.9%		17.0%
+822
-288
+765
-280
0
0		-1.75458-1.66057-1.77319
Juventus
Inter		17.0%
61.1%		21.9%
+328
+102
+325
-105
0
1		-0.72735-0.71832-0.49321
Fiorentina
Cremonese		47.1%
26.7%		26.3%
-165
+516
-170
+490
2
0		-0.50284-0.51358-0.75394
Inter
Juventus		37.1%
34.6%		28.3%
+202
+156
+215
+145
1
1		-1.18587-1.18958-1.26355
Lazio
Juventus		17.9%
60.5%		21.6%
+295
+115
+285
+110
0
1		-0.78564-0.78463-0.50190
Cremonese
Roma		10.6%
72.6%		16.8%
+815
-240
+725
-250
2
1		-2.24177-2.16178-2.24149
Torino
Fiorentina		25.0%
49.9%		25.1%
+286
+115
+280
+110
1
2		-0.79233-0.79248-0.69445
Atalanta
Inter		16.7%
63.4%		19.9%
+298
+100
+280
-105
0
1		-0.71805-0.72081-0.45642
Monza
Juventus		9.7%
73.4%		16.9%
+525
-160
+500
-160
1
2		-0.52670-0.53652-0.30861
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.