Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio 		38.6%
34.9%		26.5%
+124
+244
+120
+245
1.32
1.25		2.57
o2-148
u2¼-110
o2-140
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bologna
Lazio		20.0%
58.5%		21.6%
+380
-112
+370
-120
0
1		-0.66505-0.65716-0.53631
Spezia
Atalanta		7.5%
79.8%		12.7%
+856
-276
+770
-290
2
5		-0.32945-0.34586-0.22531
Cremonese
Napoli		6.9%
79.6%		13.5%
+969
-298
+880
-310
5
4		-2.39306-2.33160-2.67888
Genoa
Roma		10.2%
73.9%		15.9%
+580
-155
+550
-175
0
1		-0.51574-0.47717-0.30282
Sampdoria
Fiorentina		8.9%
76.2%		14.9%
+725
-231
+680
-250
0
1		-0.38343-0.38814-0.27181
Torino
Milan		13.5%
67.4%		19.1%
+363
-107
+360
-115
1
0		-1.55670-1.57142-2.00255
Parma
Inter		4.7%
85.1%		10.2%
+1057
-334
+875
-355
1
2		-0.28570-0.29913-0.16127
Cagliari
Bologna		23.5%
52.5%		24.0%
+475
-148
+350
-170
0
1		-0.54104-0.58451-0.64398
Ascoli
Sampdoria		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+340
-105
+365
-175
8
9		-0.68615-0.57350-0.59913
Modena
Cremonese		14.7%
63.8%		21.5%
+310
-109
+280
-140
2
4		-0.68258-0.65962-0.44876
Monza
Udinese		13.2%
67.5%		19.3%
+440
-160
+400
-220
3
2		-1.72704-1.73291-2.02776
Bari
Parma		26.9%
47.1%		26.0%
+218
+130
+225
-115
0
1		-0.87048-0.75008-0.75328
Brescia
Spezia		34.2%
38.9%		26.9%
+305
+100
+285
-130
1
3		-0.71754-0.69097-0.94356
Cittadella
Torino		8.7%
75.5%		15.8%
+734
-233
+715
-325
0
4		-0.39666-0.39164-0.28158
SPAL
Genoa		13.6%
66.8%		19.6%
+639
-219
+450
-220
0
1		-0.41552-0.49608-0.40354
Cosenza
Bologna		7.0%
79.4%		13.5%
+1301
-435
+925
-460
0
1		-0.24095-0.31850-0.23037
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.