Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio
38.6%
34.9%
26.5%
+130
+247
+120
+245
1.32
1.25
2.57
o2¼+105
u2¼-125
o2-140
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Ternana
Cremonese
21.2%
55.9%
22.9%
+250
+111
+255
-130
2
3
-0.77546-0.69151-0.58234
Sassuolo
Modena
67.6%
13.8%
18.6%
-169
+501
-140
+285
2
3
-1.81462-1.47290-1.97775
Benevento
Genoa
23.8%
51.2%
25.0%
+334
-112
+260
-135
2
3
-0.65705-0.68001-0.66953
Frosinone
Monza
19.7%
55.5%
24.7%
+420
-145
+400
-170
2
3
-0.56054-0.58718-0.58790
Parma
Salernitana
24.1%
51.0%
24.9%
+193
+145
+170
+115
2
0
-1.11036-1.11514-1.42238
Bari
Hellas Verona
6.0%
81.6%
12.4%
+592
-192
+450
-215
4
1
-1.96483-1.82474-2.81508
Ascoli
Venezia
21.5%
53.9%
24.6%
+112
+267
-105
+215
3
2
-0.77542-0.78964-1.53684
Palermo
Torino
9.6%
73.9%
16.5%
+571
-188
+525
-260
0
3
-0.45320-0.44687-0.30293
SPAL
Empoli
13.1%
68.0%
18.9%
+505
-155
+340
-170
2
1
-1.80308-1.60460-2.03325
Como
Spezia
16.7%
62.3%
21.0%
+475
-148
+430
-225
1
5
-0.52552-0.49081-0.47372
Brescia
Pisa
26.3%
48.3%
25.3%
+188
+165
+135
+160
4
1
-1.08773-0.97453-1.33393
US Reggina
Sampdoria
8.2%
76.6%
15.2%
+647
-214
+575
-270
0
1
-0.42083-0.43542-0.26689
Cittadella
Lecce
14.9%
65.3%
19.8%
+460
-139
+450
-200
3
2
-1.72743-1.82362-1.90287
Perugia
Cagliari
16.7%
60.9%
22.4%
+344
+103
+320
-140
2
3
-0.70757-0.65631-0.49518
Reggiana
Palermo
17.9%
58.2%
23.9%
+271
+100
+255
-120
2
3
-0.75006-0.72451-0.54208
Inter
Juventus
36.2%
35.2%
28.6%
+112
+280
+110
+280
4
2
-0.77831-0.78790-1.01628
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.