Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio
38.6%
34.9%
26.5%
+130
+247
+120
+245
1.32
1.25
2.57
o2-135
u2¼-125
o2-140
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Fiorentina
Juventus
12.2%
69.5%
18.3%
+245
+130
+300
+116
0
2
-0.84730-0.77716-0.36344
Milan
Inter
17.5%
60.8%
21.6%
+245
+129
+250
+120
0
3
-0.84901-0.82650-0.49681
Juventus
Fiorentina
48.2%
26.0%
25.8%
+228
+146
+215
+150
1
0
-1.21335-1.18567-0.72896
Inter
Milan
34.5%
38.4%
27.1%
+106
+303
+110
+280
0
0
-1.25737-1.24612-1.30479
Sassuolo
Juventus
18.2%
68.1%
13.7%
+861
-308
+840
-320
1
2
-0.30812-0.31927-0.38397
Fiorentina
Atalanta
17.5%
70.4%
12.1%
+296
-104
+295
-120
3
2
-1.40141-1.42420-1.74137
Lazio
Milan
24.0%
56.2%
19.8%
+316
-103
+295
-105
0
4
-0.70370-0.71885-0.57544
Roma
Inter
20.7%
63.8%
15.5%
+463
-155
+445
-170
0
2
-0.51785-0.51258-0.44871
Lecce
Roma
15.0%
76.1%
8.9%
+787
-261
+700
-290
1
3
-0.34176-0.34865-0.27340
Empoli
Inter
8.3%
86.2%
5.5%
+1411
-491
+1200
-560
2
3
-0.20485-0.21348-0.14862
Cagliari
Sassuolo
19.7%
65.6%
14.6%
+535
-191
+550
-220
0
1
-0.44512-0.42528-0.42094
Sampdoria
Juventus
12.1%
78.7%
9.2%
+787
-261
+850
-300
1
4
-0.35024-0.33774-0.23907
Udinese
Lazio
19.7%
63.3%
17.0%
+415
-143
+410
-150
0
1
-0.55642-0.56198-0.45694
Genoa
Milan
13.6%
76.8%
9.5%
+1051
-331
+1200
-400
1
3
-0.29324-0.27273-0.26377
Fiorentina
Napoli
17.3%
68.9%
13.9%
+280
+105
+240
+105
5
2
-1.35817-1.27465-1.75678
Venezia
Atalanta
7.3%
88.4%
4.3%
+1250
-433
+1150
-450
0
2
-0.24180-0.25139-0.12295
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.